Updated

Super League 2 · Matchday 11

Panserraikos vs Anagennisi Karditsas

· Dimotiko Stadio Serron, Serres

Full time2 – 0

Alin prediction was Panserraikos to win

Cblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 1 – 0

9% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
PanserraikosDrawAnagennisi Karditsas

Panserraikos vs Anagennisi Karditsas: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourcePanserraikosDrawAnagennisi Karditsas
Model38%29%32%
Market64%24%12%
Published57%26%17%
Edge-6%+1%+5%

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Panserraikos vs Anagennisi Karditsas odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Panserraikos, 9 snapshots since 2026-11-10.

Opened 1.64Now 1.43 -0.21
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Panserraikos1.641.43-0.21
Draw3.293.75+0.46
Anagennisi Karditsas4.957.55+2.60

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Panserraikos and Anagennisi Karditsas expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.33Panserraikos
1.20Anagennisi Karditsas
Total expected goals
2.52
Attack rating (Panserraikos / Anagennisi Karditsas)
1.03 / 0.80
Defence rating (Panserraikos / Anagennisi Karditsas)
1.53 / 0.98

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Panserraikos vs Anagennisi Karditsas score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 9.3% 8.3% 5.7% 2.3% 0.9% 1 9.4% 14.0% 7.6% 3.0% 1.2% 2 7.1% 8.4% 5.1% 2.0% 0.8% 3 3.1% 3.7% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 4+ 1.4% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.2%

Rows: Panserraikos goals. Columns: Anagennisi Karditsas goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Panserraikos vs Anagennisi Karditsas goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 91%
Over 1.5 73%
Over 2.5 46%
Over 3.5 25%
Both teams to score
53%
No goals (0–0)
9%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Panserraikos vs Anagennisi Karditsas

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Panserraikos57%1.74
Draw26%3.92
Anagennisi Karditsas17%5.84
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.546%2.16
Under 2.554%1.86
Both teams to scoreYes53%1.90
No47%2.11
Double chance1X (Panserraikos or draw)83%1.21
12 (either side)74%1.34
X2 (draw or Anagennisi Karditsas)43%2.34
Handicap -1Panserraikos win by 2+18%5.54
Push (exactly one goal)20%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Panserraikos and Anagennisi Karditsas recent form

Panserraikos 3W 1D 2L
Anagennisi Karditsas 3W 1D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Panserraikos at home

Record (W-D-L)
5-0-0
Win rate
100%
Goals for / match
2.40
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
1 of 5
  • They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.

Anagennisi Karditsas away

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-4
Win rate
17%
Goals for / match
0.50
Goals against / match
1.50
Clean sheets
1 of 6
  • They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Panserraikos at home only, Anagennisi Karditsas away only.

Panserraikos vs Anagennisi Karditsas head-to-head

Last 8 meetings: Panserraikos 2 · draws 3 · Anagennisi Karditsas 3.

PanserraikosDrawsAnagennisi Karditsas
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2023-05-13Anagennisi Karditsas0-0PanserraikosSuper League 2
2023-01-06Panserraikos2-0Anagennisi KarditsasSuper League 2
2022-04-03Panserraikos2-1Anagennisi KarditsasSuper League 2
2022-02-02Anagennisi Karditsas1-0PanserraikosSuper League 2
2018-04-22Anagennisi Karditsas1-0PanserraikosFootball League
2018-01-07Panserraikos1-1Anagennisi KarditsasFootball League
2017-05-21Anagennisi Karditsas2-1PanserraikosFootball League
2017-02-05Panserraikos0-0Anagennisi KarditsasFootball League

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Before and after this match