Panionios vs Olympiakos Piraeus II preview
In the fixture between Panionios and Olympiakos Piraeus II, the 1X2 probabilities show Panionios at 73% to win, while Olympiakos Piraeus II sits at just 9%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-0, which aligns with the expected goals of 2.52 for Panionios compared to 0.92 for Olympiakos Piraeus II.
However, recent form could impact the outcome. Panionios has recorded a mixed set of results with L-W-L-D-W-L, while Olympiakos Piraeus II has struggled, with L-L-L-D-L-D. The chances of Over 2.5 goals are at 67%, and there is a 56% likelihood for both teams to score, indicating potential for surprises despite the strong probabilities for Panionios.
Panionios vs Olympiakos Piraeus II: model vs market
| Source | Panionios | Draw | Olympiakos Piraeus II |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 72% | 17% | 11% |
| Market | 76% | 16% | 8% |
| Published | 75% | 17% | 8% |
| Edge | -1% | 0% | +1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.54 vs 0.91.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.23, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -7.7% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Panionios vs Olympiakos Piraeus II odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Panionios, 10 snapshots since 2026-11-10.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Panionios | 1.20 | 1.19 | -0.01 |
| Draw | 4.97 | 5.55 | +0.58 |
| Olympiakos Piraeus II | 11.12 | 12.00 | +0.88 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Panionios and Olympiakos Piraeus II expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.45
- Attack rating (Panionios / Olympiakos Piraeus II)
- 1.10 / 0.99
- Defence rating (Panionios / Olympiakos Piraeus II)
- 0.94 / 1.74
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Panionios vs Olympiakos Piraeus II score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Panionios goals. Columns: Olympiakos Piraeus II goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Panionios vs Olympiakos Piraeus II goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 56%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Panionios vs Olympiakos Piraeus II
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Panionios | 75% | 1.33 |
| Draw | 17% | 6.01 | |
| Olympiakos Piraeus II | 8% | 12.02 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67% | 1.49 |
| Under 2.5 | 33% | 3.03 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56% | 1.79 |
| No | 44% | 2.26 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Panionios or draw) | 92% | 1.09 |
| 12 (either side) | 83% | 1.20 | |
| X2 (draw or Olympiakos Piraeus II) | 25% | 4.01 | |
| Handicap -1 | Panionios win by 2+ | 51% | 1.96 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Panionios and Olympiakos Piraeus II recent form
Panionios
2W 1D 3L
Olympiakos Piraeus II
0W 2D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Panionios at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-0-1
- Win rate
- 83%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.67
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 6
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
Olympiakos Piraeus II away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-2
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
League matches this season before kick-off: Panionios at home only, Olympiakos Piraeus II away only.
Panionios vs Olympiakos Piraeus II head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Panionios 3 · draws 1 · Olympiakos Piraeus II 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | Panionios | 3-0 | Olympiakos Piraeus II | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2026-03-21 | Panionios | 3-0 | Olympiakos Piraeus II | Super League 2 |
| 2026-03-01 | Olympiakos Piraeus II | 2-1 | Panionios | Super League 2 |
| 2025-12-03 | Panionios | 4-1 | Olympiakos Piraeus II | Super League 2 |
| 2025-09-14 | Olympiakos Piraeus II | 1-1 | Panionios | Super League 2 |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Ellas Syros vs Panthrakikos 2026-11-14
- Panserraikos vs Anagennisi Karditsas — team news & stats 2026-11-14
- Larisa v Nestos Chrisoupolis — match page 2026-11-14
- Asteras Tripolis II v PAOK II — match page 2026-11-14
- Apollon Pontou vs Kallithea 2026-11-15
- Marko vs Zakynthos — team news & stats 2026-11-16
- Niki Volos v Pyrgos 1968 — match page 2026-11-16
Before and after this match
- Panionios, previous: Kallithea vs Panionios prediction
- Olympiakos Piraeus II, previous: Olympiakos Piraeus II vs Ellas Syros prediction