Malacateco vs Comunicaciones preview
In the match between Malacateco and Comunicaciones, the 1X2 probabilities show Malacateco at 54%, while Comunicaciones sits at 20%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which has an 11% probability. Malacateco has an expected goals figure of 1.68 compared to Comunicaciones' 0.94, indicating a stronger attacking potential.
However, both teams to score stands at 51%, suggesting a competitive match where Comunicaciones could find the net. Recent form shows Malacateco with 2 wins in their last 6, while Comunicaciones has 2 wins in the same span. This context could influence the outcome, making it essential to consider both teams' current performances.
Malacateco vs Comunicaciones: model vs market
| Source | Malacateco | Draw | Comunicaciones |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54% | 26% | 20% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 54% | 26% | 20% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.71 vs 0.95.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Malacateco and Comunicaciones expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.66
- Attack rating (Malacateco / Comunicaciones)
- 0.87 / 1.07
- Defence rating (Malacateco / Comunicaciones)
- 1.04 / 1.20
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Malacateco vs Comunicaciones score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Malacateco goals. Columns: Comunicaciones goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Malacateco vs Comunicaciones goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 51%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Malacateco vs Comunicaciones
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Malacateco | 54% | 1.84 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.83 | |
| Comunicaciones | 20% | 5.09 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50% | 2.01 |
| Under 2.5 | 50% | 1.99 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51% | 1.94 |
| No | 49% | 2.06 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Malacateco or draw) | 80% | 1.24 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Comunicaciones) | 46% | 2.19 | |
| Handicap -1 | Malacateco win by 2+ | 31% | 3.26 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Malacateco and Comunicaciones recent form
Malacateco
2W 1D 3L
Comunicaciones
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Malacateco at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-2-1
- Win rate
- 57%
- Goals for / match
- 1.43
- Goals against / match
- 0.71
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 7
- They have won 4 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 14 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Comunicaciones away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-3
- Win rate
- 14%
- Goals for / match
- 1.14
- Goals against / match
- 1.71
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 7
- They have won 4 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 14 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Malacateco at home only, Comunicaciones away only.
Malacateco vs Comunicaciones head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Malacateco 3 · draws 1 · Comunicaciones 6.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Comunicaciones | 4-2 | Malacateco | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
| 2026-04-26 | Malacateco | 1-0 | Comunicaciones | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
| 2026-03-04 | Comunicaciones | 3-2 | Malacateco | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
| 2025-11-23 | Malacateco | 2-0 | Comunicaciones | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
| 2025-09-17 | Comunicaciones | 1-0 | Malacateco | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
| 2025-04-24 | Malacateco | 2-2 | Comunicaciones | Liga Nacional |
| 2025-02-24 | Comunicaciones | 2-1 | Malacateco | Liga Nacional |
| 2024-11-07 | Malacateco | 2-0 | Comunicaciones | Liga Nacional |
| 2024-03-10 | Malacateco | 0-1 | Comunicaciones | Liga Nacional |
| 2024-02-11 | Comunicaciones | 4-2 | Malacateco | Liga Nacional |
Other Matchday 15 fixtures
- Aurora vs Deportivo San Pedro 2026-10-18
- Mixco vs Cobán Imperial — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- Municipal vs Guastatoya — team news & stats 2026-10-19
- Marquense v Suchitepéquez — match page 2026-10-19
- Antigua GFC vs Xelajú 2026-10-20
Before and after this match
- Malacateco, previous: Xelajú – Malacateco, 2026-10-15
- Comunicaciones, previous: Comunicaciones vs Aurora: odds and pick
- Comunicaciones, next: Comunicaciones v Antigua GFC analysis