Mixco vs Cobán Imperial preview
In the upcoming match between Mixco and Cobán Imperial, the 1X2 probabilities show Mixco at 57% and Cobán Imperial at 20%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 10% chance. Mixco has an expected goals figure of 2.17, while Cobán Imperial sits at 1.25.
Mixco's recent form includes two draws and a win, while Cobán Imperial has three wins in their last five matches. The model predicts a high likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 66% and both teams to score at 64%. However, the close head-to-head record, with each team winning 4 of the last 10 encounters, suggests that Cobán Imperial could pose a challenge to Mixco's chances.
Mixco vs Cobán Imperial: model vs market
| Source | Mixco | Draw | Cobán Imperial |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 58% | 22% | 20% |
| Market | 56% | 24% | 20% |
| Published | 57% | 23% | 20% |
| Edge | +1% | -2% | 0% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.17 vs 1.25.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.62, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update.
Mixco vs Cobán Imperial odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Mixco, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-18.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mixco | 1.61 | 1.60 | -0.01 |
| Draw | 3.65 | 3.82 | +0.17 |
| Cobán Imperial | 4.62 | 4.50 | -0.12 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Mixco and Cobán Imperial expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.42
- Attack rating (Mixco / Cobán Imperial)
- 1.20 / 1.08
- Defence rating (Mixco / Cobán Imperial)
- 1.35 / 1.10
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Mixco vs Cobán Imperial score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Mixco goals. Columns: Cobán Imperial goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Mixco vs Cobán Imperial goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 64%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Mixco vs Cobán Imperial
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mixco | 57% | 1.76 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.31 | |
| Cobán Imperial | 20% | 4.97 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66% | 1.51 |
| Under 2.5 | 34% | 2.97 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64% | 1.56 |
| No | 36% | 2.78 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Mixco or draw) | 80% | 1.25 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| X2 (draw or Cobán Imperial) | 43% | 2.31 | |
| Handicap -1 | Mixco win by 2+ | 36% | 2.76 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Mixco and Cobán Imperial recent form
Mixco
2W 2D 2L
Cobán Imperial
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Mixco at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-1-0
- Win rate
- 83%
- Goals for / match
- 2.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 5 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 13 matches.
Cobán Imperial away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-3-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.86
- Goals against / match
- 1.57
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 7
- They have won 4 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 14 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Mixco at home only, Cobán Imperial away only.
Mixco vs Cobán Imperial head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Mixco 4 · draws 2 · Cobán Imperial 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Cobán Imperial | 3-2 | Mixco | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
| 2026-05-02 | Mixco | 2-0 | Cobán Imperial | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
| 2026-04-29 | Cobán Imperial | 2-0 | Mixco | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
| 2026-03-21 | Cobán Imperial | 1-1 | Mixco | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
| 2026-01-31 | Mixco | 1-1 | Cobán Imperial | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
| 2025-09-27 | Mixco | 1-0 | Cobán Imperial | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
| 2025-07-19 | Cobán Imperial | 0-1 | Mixco | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
| 2025-03-29 | Mixco | 1-3 | Cobán Imperial | Liga Nacional |
| 2025-01-26 | Cobán Imperial | 2-0 | Mixco | Liga Nacional |
| 2024-10-23 | Mixco | 1-0 | Cobán Imperial | Liga Nacional |
Other Matchday 15 fixtures
- Aurora vs Deportivo San Pedro 2026-10-18
- Municipal vs Guastatoya — team news & stats 2026-10-19
- Marquense v Suchitepéquez — match page 2026-10-19
- Antigua GFC vs Xelajú 2026-10-20
- Malacateco v Comunicaciones — match page 2026-10-21
Before and after this match
- Mixco, previous: Marquense vs Mixco prediction
- Mixco, next: Mixco – Municipal, 2026-10-21
- Cobán Imperial, previous: Cobán Imperial v Municipal analysis