Atlético Choloma vs CD Olimpia preview
In the match between Atlético Choloma and CD Olimpia, the 1X2 probabilities show CD Olimpia at 48%, compared to Atlético Choloma's 24%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which reflects a strong chance for CD Olimpia to win, supported by their recent form of 4 wins in the last 6 matches.
However, Atlético Choloma has a 53% chance for both teams to score, indicating they could find the net despite their lower probability of winning. With expected goals of 1.06 for Atlético Choloma and 1.59 for CD Olimpia, the match could be closer than the odds suggest. The confidence grade is C, suggesting some uncertainty in the predictions.
Atlético Choloma vs CD Olimpia: model vs market
| Source | Atlético Choloma | Draw | CD Olimpia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24% | 27% | 48% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 24% | 27% | 48% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.59 vs 1.06.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Atlético Choloma and CD Olimpia expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.65
- Attack rating (Atlético Choloma / CD Olimpia)
- 0.98 / 1.36
- Defence rating (Atlético Choloma / CD Olimpia)
- 0.90 / 0.71
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Atlético Choloma vs CD Olimpia score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Atlético Choloma goals. Columns: CD Olimpia goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Atlético Choloma vs CD Olimpia goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 53%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Atlético Choloma vs CD Olimpia
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atlético Choloma | 24% | 4.12 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.64 | |
| CD Olimpia | 48% | 2.07 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49% | 2.02 |
| Under 2.5 | 51% | 1.98 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53% | 1.88 |
| No | 47% | 2.14 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Atlético Choloma or draw) | 52% | 1.93 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.38 | |
| X2 (draw or CD Olimpia) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| Handicap -1 | CD Olimpia win by 2+ | 26% | 3.88 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Atlético Choloma and CD Olimpia recent form
Atlético Choloma
3W 1D 2L
CD Olimpia
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Atlético Choloma at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-1
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 0.40
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
CD Olimpia away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-1
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 7 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Atlético Choloma at home only, CD Olimpia away only.
Atlético Choloma vs CD Olimpia head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Atlético Choloma 0 · draws 0 · CD Olimpia 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Atlético Choloma | 1-3 | CD Olimpia | Honduras Liga Nacional |
| 2026-02-26 | CD Olimpia | 3-0 | Atlético Choloma | Honduras Liga Nacional |
| 2025-09-28 | CD Olimpia | 2-0 | Atlético Choloma | Honduras Liga Nacional |
| 2025-07-24 | Atlético Choloma | 2-7 | CD Olimpia | Honduras Liga Nacional |
Other Apertura - 12 fixtures
- Estrella Roja vs Atletico Independiente — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Lobos Upnfm vs Génesis 2026-10-31
- Real Espana v Juticalpa — match page 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Atlético Choloma, previous: Atlético Choloma vs Génesis prediction
- CD Olimpia, previous: Lobos Upnfm vs CD Olimpia prediction