Real Espana vs Juticalpa preview
In the match between Real Espana and Juticalpa, the 1X2 probabilities show Real Espana at 72%, with a most likely scoreline of 2-0 (11%). Real Espana has an expected goals figure of 2.46, while Juticalpa sits at 0.86. This suggests a strong advantage for Real Espana.
However, recent head-to-head results indicate that Juticalpa has won 2 of the last 4 encounters, with no wins for Real Espana. Additionally, while Over 2.5 goals has a probability of 64% and both teams to score is at 53%, the recent form of Juticalpa shows they have won only 1 of their last 6 matches. These factors could influence the outcome.
Real Espana vs Juticalpa: model vs market
| Source | Real Espana | Draw | Juticalpa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 72% | 18% | 10% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 72% | 18% | 10% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.40 vs 0.80.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Real Espana and Juticalpa expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.20
- Attack rating (Real Espana / Juticalpa)
- 1.17 / 0.75
- Defence rating (Real Espana / Juticalpa)
- 0.82 / 1.34
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Real Espana vs Juticalpa score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Real Espana goals. Columns: Juticalpa goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Real Espana vs Juticalpa goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 51%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Real Espana vs Juticalpa
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Real Espana | 72% | 1.39 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.53 | |
| Juticalpa | 10% | 10.25 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62% | 1.61 |
| Under 2.5 | 38% | 2.63 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51% | 1.97 |
| No | 49% | 2.03 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Real Espana or draw) | 90% | 1.11 |
| 12 (either side) | 82% | 1.22 | |
| X2 (draw or Juticalpa) | 28% | 3.59 | |
| Handicap -1 | Real Espana win by 2+ | 50% | 1.99 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Real Espana and Juticalpa recent form
Real Espana
4W 1D 1L
Juticalpa
1W 0D 5L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Real Espana at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-1-0
- Win rate
- 83%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.83
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 6
- They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- 48% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Juticalpa away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-5
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.80
- Goals against / match
- 2.40
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Real Espana at home only, Juticalpa away only.
Real Espana vs Juticalpa head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Real Espana 0 · draws 2 · Juticalpa 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | Real Espana | 1-1 | Juticalpa | Honduras Liga Nacional |
| 2026-02-12 | Juticalpa | 1-1 | Real Espana | Honduras Liga Nacional |
| 2025-11-01 | Juticalpa | 4-3 | Real Espana | Honduras Liga Nacional |
| 2025-08-25 | Real Espana | 0-2 | Juticalpa | Honduras Liga Nacional |
Other Apertura - 12 fixtures
- Estrella Roja vs Atletico Independiente — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Lobos Upnfm vs Génesis 2026-10-31
- Atlético Choloma vs CD Olimpia — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Olancho vs Platense FC 2026-11-01
- CD Motagua v CD Marathon — match page 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Real Espana, previous: Real Espana – Platense FC, 2026-10-24
- Juticalpa, previous: CD Motagua vs Juticalpa: odds and pick