Olancho vs Platense FC preview
In the match between Olancho and Platense FC, Olancho has a 55% chance to win, while Platense FC has a 20% chance. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 10% probability. Both teams are expected to score, as indicated by the 55% chance for "both teams to score" and "Over 2.5 goals."
Olancho's recent form shows they have drawn or lost their last six matches, while Platense FC has two wins in their last six. This inconsistency could impact the expected outcome. Olancho's expected goals stand at 1.84, compared to Platense FC's 1.02, suggesting a stronger attacking performance from Olancho. However, recent form and head-to-head results indicate that surprises can happen.
Olancho vs Platense FC: model vs market
| Source | Olancho | Draw | Platense FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55% | 25% | 20% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 55% | 25% | 20% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.84 vs 1.02.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Olancho and Platense FC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.86
- Attack rating (Olancho / Platense FC)
- 0.83 / 0.86
- Defence rating (Olancho / Platense FC)
- 0.92 / 1.45
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Olancho vs Platense FC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Olancho goals. Columns: Platense FC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Olancho vs Platense FC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 55%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Olancho vs Platense FC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Olancho | 55% | 1.81 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.02 | |
| Platense FC | 20% | 5.06 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55% | 1.83 |
| Under 2.5 | 45% | 2.20 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55% | 1.82 |
| No | 45% | 2.22 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Olancho or draw) | 80% | 1.25 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Platense FC) | 45% | 2.24 | |
| Handicap -1 | Olancho win by 2+ | 32% | 3.09 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Olancho and Platense FC recent form
Olancho
0W 5D 1L
Platense FC
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Olancho at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-4-0
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Platense FC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 3.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Olancho at home only, Platense FC away only.
Olancho vs Platense FC head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Olancho 3 · draws 1 · Platense FC 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Platense FC | 1-0 | Olancho | Honduras Liga Nacional |
| 2026-03-07 | Olancho | 2-1 | Platense FC | Honduras Liga Nacional |
| 2025-12-25 | Olancho | 3-1 | Platense FC | Honduras Liga Nacional |
| 2025-12-14 | Platense FC | 1-1 | Olancho | Honduras Liga Nacional |
| 2025-11-26 | Platense FC | 2-0 | Olancho | Honduras Liga Nacional |
| 2025-09-14 | Olancho | 2-1 | Platense FC | Honduras Liga Nacional |
Other Apertura - 12 fixtures
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- Lobos Upnfm vs Génesis 2026-10-31
- Real Espana v Juticalpa — match page 2026-10-31
- Atlético Choloma vs CD Olimpia — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- CD Motagua v CD Marathon — match page 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Olancho, previous: Olancho vs Estrella Roja: odds and pick
- Platense FC, previous: Real Espana – Platense FC, 2026-10-24