Budapest Honved vs Debreceni VSC preview
In the NB I fixture on 2026-10-24, Budapest Honved has a 48% chance to win against Debreceni VSC, who has a 28% chance. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% probability. The model also suggests a strong likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams to score at 64%.
Budapest Honved's expected goals stand at 1.85, while Debreceni VSC's is lower at 1.38. Recent form shows Budapest Honved with a mixed record of W-D-L-L-W-L, while Debreceni VSC has drawn four of their last six matches. The confidence grade for this matchup is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
Budapest Honved vs Debreceni VSC: model vs market
| Source | Budapest Honved | Draw | Debreceni VSC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39% | 26% | 35% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 39% | 26% | 35% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Budapest Honved and Debreceni VSC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.13
- Attack rating (Budapest Honved / Debreceni VSC)
- 0.94 / 1.04
- Defence rating (Budapest Honved / Debreceni VSC)
- 1.03 / 1.08
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Budapest Honved vs Debreceni VSC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Budapest Honved goals. Columns: Debreceni VSC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Budapest Honved vs Debreceni VSC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 64%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Budapest Honved vs Debreceni VSC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Budapest Honved | 39% | 2.55 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.87 | |
| Debreceni VSC | 35% | 2.86 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60% | 1.65 |
| Under 2.5 | 40% | 2.53 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64% | 1.57 |
| No | 36% | 2.74 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Budapest Honved or draw) | 65% | 1.54 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Debreceni VSC) | 61% | 1.64 | |
| Handicap -1 | Budapest Honved win by 2+ | 20% | 4.94 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Budapest Honved and Debreceni VSC recent form
Budapest Honved
2W 1D 3L
Debreceni VSC
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Budapest Honved at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-1
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Debreceni VSC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-1
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Budapest Honved at home only, Debreceni VSC away only.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Ferencvarosi TC vs MTK Budapest 2026-10-24
- Vasas v Paks — match page 2026-10-24
- Puskas Academy vs Nyiregyhaza — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Gyori ETO FC vs Ujpest 2026-10-24
- Zalaegerszegi TE v Kisvarda FC — match page 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- Budapest Honved, previous: Nyiregyhaza vs Budapest Honved: odds and pick
- Debreceni VSC, previous: Debreceni VSC vs Zalaegerszegi TE prediction