Zalaegerszegi TE vs Kisvarda FC preview
Zalaegerszegi TE faces Kisvarda FC with a 32% chance of winning for the home side compared to 38% for the visitors. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, indicating a narrow win for Kisvarda FC. Zalaegerszegi TE's expected goals stand at 1.17, while Kisvarda FC's is slightly higher at 1.30, suggesting a competitive match.
Both teams to score has a probability of 51%, which could be influenced by Zalaegerszegi TE's recent form of L-W-L-W-L-L. Kisvarda FC has drawn three of their last five matches, which may affect their scoring chances. The confidence grade for this match is C, reflecting uncertainty in the outcome.
Zalaegerszegi TE vs Kisvarda FC: model vs market
| Source | Zalaegerszegi TE | Draw | Kisvarda FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32% | 30% | 38% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 32% | 30% | 38% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Zalaegerszegi TE and Kisvarda FC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.47
- Attack rating (Zalaegerszegi TE / Kisvarda FC)
- 0.86 / 0.73
- Defence rating (Zalaegerszegi TE / Kisvarda FC)
- 1.26 / 0.85
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Zalaegerszegi TE vs Kisvarda FC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Zalaegerszegi TE goals. Columns: Kisvarda FC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Zalaegerszegi TE vs Kisvarda FC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 51%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Zalaegerszegi TE vs Kisvarda FC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zalaegerszegi TE | 32% | 3.12 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.36 | |
| Kisvarda FC | 38% | 2.61 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45% | 2.23 |
| Under 2.5 | 55% | 1.81 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51% | 1.95 |
| No | 49% | 2.06 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Zalaegerszegi TE or draw) | 62% | 1.62 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.42 | |
| X2 (draw or Kisvarda FC) | 68% | 1.47 | |
| Handicap -1 | Kisvarda FC win by 2+ | 18% | 5.62 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Zalaegerszegi TE and Kisvarda FC recent form
Zalaegerszegi TE
2W 0D 4L
Kisvarda FC
1W 4D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Zalaegerszegi TE at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-1
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 2.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 9 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kisvarda FC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
League matches this season before kick-off: Zalaegerszegi TE at home only, Kisvarda FC away only.
Zalaegerszegi TE vs Kisvarda FC head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Zalaegerszegi TE 1 · draws 1 · Kisvarda FC 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | Zalaegerszegi TE | 2-0 | Kisvarda FC | NB I |
| 2025-12-14 | Kisvarda FC | 3-3 | Zalaegerszegi TE | NB I |
| 2025-08-30 | Zalaegerszegi TE | 1-2 | Kisvarda FC | NB I |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Budapest Honved vs Debreceni VSC — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Ferencvarosi TC vs MTK Budapest 2026-10-24
- Vasas v Paks — match page 2026-10-24
- Puskas Academy vs Nyiregyhaza — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Gyori ETO FC vs Ujpest 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- Zalaegerszegi TE, previous: Debreceni VSC vs Zalaegerszegi TE prediction
- Kisvarda FC, previous: Kisvarda FC – Ferencvarosi TC, 2026-10-18