Gyori ETO FC vs Ujpest preview
Gyori ETO FC faces Ujpest with a 43% chance of winning compared to Ujpest's 32%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which occurs with a 9% probability. Gyori ETO FC's expected goals stand at 1.76, while Ujpest has 1.51.
The model suggests a strong possibility for Over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams to score at 65%. However, Gyori ETO FC's recent form shows inconsistency with 2 wins in their last 5 matches, which could impact their performance. Ujpest's recent form includes 3 draws in their last 5 games, indicating they can be tough to break down.
Gyori ETO FC vs Ujpest: model vs market
| Source | Gyori ETO FC | Draw | Ujpest |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47% | 25% | 28% |
| Market | 41% | 25% | 34% |
| Published | 42% | 25% | 33% |
| Edge | +6% | 0% | -6% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.77 vs 1.34.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Gyori ETO FC below the model: +5.9 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.30, recorded — the top price across the 4 books we record, each at its own last update.
Gyori ETO FC vs Ujpest odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Gyori ETO FC, 3 snapshots since 2026-10-18.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gyori ETO FC | 2.25 | 2.25 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.66 | 3.66 | +0.00 |
| Ujpest | 2.68 | 2.68 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Gyori ETO FC and Ujpest expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.11
- Attack rating (Gyori ETO FC / Ujpest)
- 1.08 / 1.09
- Defence rating (Gyori ETO FC / Ujpest)
- 0.87 / 1.03
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Gyori ETO FC vs Ujpest score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Gyori ETO FC goals. Columns: Ujpest goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Gyori ETO FC vs Ujpest goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 62%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Gyori ETO FC vs Ujpest
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gyori ETO FC | 42% | 2.37 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.98 | |
| Ujpest | 33% | 3.07 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 | 40% | 2.50 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62% | 1.61 |
| No | 38% | 2.65 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Gyori ETO FC or draw) | 67% | 1.48 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Ujpest) | 58% | 1.73 | |
| Handicap -1 | Gyori ETO FC win by 2+ | 26% | 3.86 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Gyori ETO FC and Ujpest recent form
Gyori ETO FC
3W 1D 2L
Ujpest
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Gyori ETO FC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-2
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Ujpest away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-2
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.60
- Goals against / match
- 1.80
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
League matches this season before kick-off: Gyori ETO FC at home only, Ujpest away only.
Gyori ETO FC vs Ujpest head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Gyori ETO FC 2 · draws 1 · Ujpest 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | Gyori ETO FC | 2-1 | Ujpest | NB I |
| 2025-11-08 | Ujpest | 0-3 | Gyori ETO FC | NB I |
| 2025-08-03 | Gyori ETO FC | 1-1 | Ujpest | NB I |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Budapest Honved vs Debreceni VSC — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Ferencvarosi TC vs MTK Budapest 2026-10-24
- Vasas v Paks — match page 2026-10-24
- Puskas Academy vs Nyiregyhaza — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Zalaegerszegi TE v Kisvarda FC — match page 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- Gyori ETO FC, previous: Paks vs Gyori ETO FC: odds and pick
- Ujpest, previous: Ujpest v Puskas Academy analysis