Updated

NB I · Matchday 11

Puskas Academy vs Nyiregyhaza

· Pancho Arena

Alin prediction Puskas Academy to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 2 – 0

12% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Puskas AcademyDrawNyiregyhaza

Puskas Academy vs Nyiregyhaza preview

Puskas Academy faces Nyiregyhaza with a 63% chance of winning, while Nyiregyhaza has just a 15% chance. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, which aligns with expected goals of 2.08 for Puskas Academy and 0.94 for Nyiregyhaza.

However, recent form shows Puskas Academy has won 3 of their last 6 matches, while Nyiregyhaza has lost 5 in a row. This could impact the outcome, as both teams have a 54% chance of scoring. The confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty in the prediction.

Puskas Academy vs Nyiregyhaza: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourcePuskas AcademyDrawNyiregyhaza
Model65%22%13%
Market———
Published65%22%13%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.03 vs 0.81.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Puskas Academy and Nyiregyhaza expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.03Puskas Academy
0.81Nyiregyhaza
Total expected goals
2.85
Attack rating (Puskas Academy / Nyiregyhaza)
0.99 / 0.80
Defence rating (Puskas Academy / Nyiregyhaza)
0.72 / 1.29

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Puskas Academy vs Nyiregyhaza score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 6.8% 3.8% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 1 10.8% 10.6% 3.9% 1.1% 0.3% 2 12.0% 9.8% 4.0% 1.1% 0.3% 3 8.1% 6.6% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2% 4+ 6.6% 5.4% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%

Rows: Puskas Academy goals. Columns: Nyiregyhaza goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Puskas Academy vs Nyiregyhaza goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 93%
Over 1.5 79%
Over 2.5 54%
Over 3.5 32%
Both teams to score
49%
No goals (0–0)
7%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Puskas Academy vs Nyiregyhaza

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Puskas Academy65%1.54
Draw22%4.52
Nyiregyhaza13%7.64
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.554%1.85
Under 2.546%2.18
Both teams to scoreYes49%2.02
No51%1.98
Double chance1X (Puskas Academy or draw)87%1.15
12 (either side)78%1.28
X2 (draw or Nyiregyhaza)35%2.84
Handicap -1Puskas Academy win by 2+41%2.43
Push (exactly one goal)24%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

All betting sites
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Puskas Academy and Nyiregyhaza recent form

Puskas Academy 4W 0D 2L
Nyiregyhaza 0W 2D 4L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Puskas Academy at home

Record (W-D-L)
2-0-2
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
1.75
Goals against / match
1.75
Clean sheets
0 of 4
  • They have won 6 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Nyiregyhaza away

Record (W-D-L)
0-0-5
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.80
Goals against / match
3.00
Clean sheets
0 of 5
  • They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Puskas Academy at home only, Nyiregyhaza away only.

Puskas Academy vs Nyiregyhaza head-to-head

Last 3 meetings: Puskas Academy 1 · draws 1 · Nyiregyhaza 1.

Puskas AcademyDrawsNyiregyhaza
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-03-01Puskas Academy1-2NyiregyhazaNB I
2025-11-09Nyiregyhaza1-1Puskas AcademyNB I
2025-08-03Puskas Academy3-2NyiregyhazaNB I

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Puskas Academy to win Predicted score 2 – 0 C Bet on Puskas Academy