Debreceni VSC vs Zalaegerszegi TE preview
In the upcoming match between Debreceni VSC and Zalaegerszegi TE, the 1X2 probabilities show Debreceni VSC at 39%, Zalaegerszegi TE at 36%, and a draw at 24%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a probability of 8%. The model also indicates a strong chance for Over 2.5 goals at 67% and both teams to score at 68%.
Debreceni VSC's expected goals stand at 1.75, while Zalaegerszegi TE's is slightly lower at 1.68. Recent form shows Debreceni VSC with 3 draws and 1 win in their last 6 matches, while Zalaegerszegi TE has struggled with 4 losses in their last 6. The confidence grade for this match is C, suggesting potential uncertainty in the outcome.
Debreceni VSC vs Zalaegerszegi TE: model vs market
| Source | Debreceni VSC | Draw | Zalaegerszegi TE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39% | 24% | 36% |
| Market | 50% | 24% | 26% |
| Published | 48% | 24% | 28% |
| Edge | -11% | 0% | +11% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.90, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.
Debreceni VSC vs Zalaegerszegi TE odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Debreceni VSC, 4 snapshots since 2026-10-13.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Debreceni VSC | 1.95 | 1.81 | -0.14 |
| Draw | 3.60 | 3.77 | +0.17 |
| Zalaegerszegi TE | 3.21 | 3.58 | +0.37 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Debreceni VSC and Zalaegerszegi TE expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.43
- Attack rating (Debreceni VSC / Zalaegerszegi TE)
- 0.94 / 0.96
- Defence rating (Debreceni VSC / Zalaegerszegi TE)
- 1.23 / 1.16
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Debreceni VSC vs Zalaegerszegi TE score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Debreceni VSC goals. Columns: Zalaegerszegi TE goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Debreceni VSC vs Zalaegerszegi TE goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 68%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Debreceni VSC vs Zalaegerszegi TE
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Debreceni VSC | 48% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.13 | |
| Zalaegerszegi TE | 28% | 3.54 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 33% | 3.00 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68% | 1.47 |
| No | 32% | 3.15 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Debreceni VSC or draw) | 72% | 1.39 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or Zalaegerszegi TE) | 52% | 1.91 | |
| Handicap -1 | Debreceni VSC win by 2+ | 21% | 4.77 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Debreceni VSC and Zalaegerszegi TE recent form
Debreceni VSC
1W 4D 1L
Zalaegerszegi TE
2W 0D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Debreceni VSC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-2
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.80
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Zalaegerszegi TE away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-5
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.20
- Goals against / match
- 2.80
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 8 matches.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Debreceni VSC at home only, Zalaegerszegi TE away only.
Debreceni VSC vs Zalaegerszegi TE head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Debreceni VSC 1 · draws 2 · Zalaegerszegi TE 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-22 | Zalaegerszegi TE | 1-1 | Debreceni VSC | NB I |
| 2025-11-02 | Debreceni VSC | 2-1 | Zalaegerszegi TE | NB I |
| 2025-07-26 | Zalaegerszegi TE | 3-3 | Debreceni VSC | NB I |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- MTK Budapest vs Vasas 2026-10-16
- Nyiregyhaza v Budapest Honved — match page 2026-10-17
- Paks vs Gyori ETO FC 2026-10-17
- Ujpest vs Puskas Academy — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Kisvarda FC vs Ferencvarosi TC — team news & stats 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Debreceni VSC, previous: Ferencvarosi TC – Debreceni VSC, 2026-10-10
- Zalaegerszegi TE, previous: Zalaegerszegi TE – Nyiregyhaza, 2026-10-11