Ujpest vs Puskas Academy preview
In the match between Ujpest and Puskas Academy, the 1X2 probabilities show Ujpest at 40%, Puskas Academy at 36%, and a draw at 24%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with an 8% chance. Both teams to score is at 69%, and Over 2.5 goals stands at 67%.
Ujpest's recent form includes 3 wins and 2 draws, while Puskas Academy has 5 wins and 1 loss. In their last 3 encounters, Ujpest has not won, with 1 draw and 2 losses. The expected goals are close, with Ujpest at 1.78 and Puskas Academy at 1.70. A potential factor that could affect the outcome is the confidence grade of C, indicating uncertainty in the predictions.
Ujpest vs Puskas Academy: model vs market
| Source | Ujpest | Draw | Puskas Academy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38% | 26% | 36% |
| Market | 42% | 26% | 32% |
| Published | 41% | 26% | 33% |
| Edge | -4% | 0% | +4% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.27, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update.
Ujpest vs Puskas Academy odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Ujpest, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-12.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ujpest | 2.17 | 2.17 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.54 | 3.54 | +0.00 |
| Puskas Academy | 2.84 | 2.84 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Ujpest and Puskas Academy expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.13
- Attack rating (Ujpest / Puskas Academy)
- 1.20 / 1.01
- Defence rating (Ujpest / Puskas Academy)
- 1.07 / 0.82
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Ujpest vs Puskas Academy score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Ujpest goals. Columns: Puskas Academy goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Ujpest vs Puskas Academy goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 64%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Ujpest vs Puskas Academy
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ujpest | 41% | 2.44 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.87 | |
| Puskas Academy | 33% | 3.01 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61% | 1.65 |
| Under 2.5 | 39% | 2.53 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64% | 1.57 |
| No | 36% | 2.75 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Ujpest or draw) | 67% | 1.50 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Puskas Academy) | 59% | 1.69 | |
| Handicap -1 | Ujpest win by 2+ | 19% | 5.19 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Ujpest and Puskas Academy recent form
Ujpest
2W 3D 1L
Puskas Academy
4W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Ujpest at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-0
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 2.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
Puskas Academy away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-1
- Win rate
- 80%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 0.60
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 5
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Ujpest at home only, Puskas Academy away only.
Ujpest vs Puskas Academy head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Ujpest 0 · draws 1 · Puskas Academy 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Puskas Academy | 2-0 | Ujpest | NB I |
| 2026-01-31 | Ujpest | 0-1 | Puskas Academy | NB I |
| 2025-10-04 | Puskas Academy | 0-0 | Ujpest | NB I |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- MTK Budapest vs Vasas 2026-10-16
- Nyiregyhaza v Budapest Honved — match page 2026-10-17
- Paks vs Gyori ETO FC 2026-10-17
- Debreceni VSC v Zalaegerszegi TE — match page 2026-10-18
- Kisvarda FC vs Ferencvarosi TC — team news & stats 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Ujpest, previous: Budapest Honved vs Ujpest prediction
- Puskas Academy, previous: Gyori ETO FC vs Puskas Academy prediction