Nyiregyhaza vs Budapest Honved preview
In the upcoming match between Nyiregyhaza and Budapest Honved, the 1X2 probabilities show Nyiregyhaza at 40%, a draw at 25%, and Budapest Honved at 35%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a probability of 8%. Both teams to score has a strong likelihood at 67%, while Over 2.5 goals stands at 65%.
Nyiregyhaza's expected goals are 1.74, slightly higher than Budapest Honved's 1.62. However, recent form shows Nyiregyhaza with a record of D-L-D-L-W-L and Budapest Honved at L-L-W-L-D-D. This recent performance could impact the outcome, potentially leading to a different result than predicted.
Nyiregyhaza vs Budapest Honved: model vs market
| Source | Nyiregyhaza | Draw | Budapest Honved |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32% | 24% | 43% |
| Market | 46% | 26% | 28% |
| Published | 43% | 26% | 32% |
| Edge | -14% | -2% | +16% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.05, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update.
Nyiregyhaza vs Budapest Honved odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Nyiregyhaza, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-12.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nyiregyhaza | 2.00 | 2.00 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.55 | 3.55 | +0.00 |
| Budapest Honved | 3.35 | 3.35 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Nyiregyhaza and Budapest Honved expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.42
- Attack rating (Nyiregyhaza / Budapest Honved)
- 0.86 / 0.96
- Defence rating (Nyiregyhaza / Budapest Honved)
- 1.34 / 1.14
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Nyiregyhaza vs Budapest Honved score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Nyiregyhaza goals. Columns: Budapest Honved goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Nyiregyhaza vs Budapest Honved goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 68%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Nyiregyhaza vs Budapest Honved
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nyiregyhaza | 43% | 2.34 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.90 | |
| Budapest Honved | 32% | 3.17 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 34% | 2.98 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68% | 1.48 |
| No | 32% | 3.10 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Nyiregyhaza or draw) | 68% | 1.46 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Budapest Honved) | 57% | 1.75 | |
| Handicap -1 | Nyiregyhaza win by 2+ | 16% | 6.23 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Nyiregyhaza and Budapest Honved recent form
Nyiregyhaza
1W 2D 3L
Budapest Honved
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Nyiregyhaza at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-0
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Budapest Honved away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 2.25
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Nyiregyhaza at home only, Budapest Honved away only.
Nyiregyhaza vs Budapest Honved head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Nyiregyhaza 2 · draws 2 · Budapest Honved 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-02-11 | Budapest Honved | 1-1 | Nyiregyhaza | NB II |
| 2023-08-13 | Nyiregyhaza | 0-0 | Budapest Honved | NB II |
| 2021-09-19 | Nyiregyhaza | 1-5 | Budapest Honved | Magyar Kupa |
| 2015-02-28 | Nyiregyhaza | 2-0 | Budapest Honved | NB I |
| 2014-08-09 | Budapest Honved | 0-1 | Nyiregyhaza | NB I |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- MTK Budapest vs Vasas 2026-10-16
- Paks vs Gyori ETO FC 2026-10-17
- Ujpest vs Puskas Academy — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Debreceni VSC v Zalaegerszegi TE — match page 2026-10-18
- Kisvarda FC vs Ferencvarosi TC — team news & stats 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Nyiregyhaza, previous: Zalaegerszegi TE – Nyiregyhaza, 2026-10-11
- Budapest Honved, previous: Budapest Honved vs Ujpest prediction