Paks vs Gyori ETO FC preview
In the match between Paks and Gyori ETO FC, the key figure is Paks' 47% chance to win compared to Gyori ETO FC's 30%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% probability. Both teams have shown variable form recently, with Paks having a record of W-W-L-D-W-L and Gyori ETO FC at L-W-W-L-D-W.
The model suggests a strong likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams to score at 66%. However, the confidence grade is C, indicating uncertainty in the predictions. If either team underperforms or the match ends in a draw, these expectations could be incorrect.
Paks vs Gyori ETO FC: model vs market
| Source | Paks | Draw | Gyori ETO FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42% | 25% | 33% |
| Market | 49% | 23% | 28% |
| Published | 47% | 23% | 30% |
| Edge | -7% | +2% | +4% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.98, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update.
Paks vs Gyori ETO FC odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Paks, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-12.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paks | 1.85 | 1.85 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 4.03 | 4.03 | +0.00 |
| Gyori ETO FC | 3.19 | 3.19 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Paks and Gyori ETO FC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.30
- Attack rating (Paks / Gyori ETO FC)
- 1.25 / 1.02
- Defence rating (Paks / Gyori ETO FC)
- 1.05 / 0.88
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Paks vs Gyori ETO FC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Paks goals. Columns: Gyori ETO FC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Paks vs Gyori ETO FC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 66%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Paks vs Gyori ETO FC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Paks | 47% | 2.11 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.33 | |
| Gyori ETO FC | 30% | 3.39 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64% | 1.56 |
| Under 2.5 | 36% | 2.78 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66% | 1.51 |
| No | 34% | 2.94 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Paks or draw) | 70% | 1.42 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| X2 (draw or Gyori ETO FC) | 53% | 1.90 | |
| Handicap -1 | Paks win by 2+ | 23% | 4.34 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Paks and Gyori ETO FC recent form
Paks
3W 1D 2L
Gyori ETO FC
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Paks at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-1
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 2.60
- Goals against / match
- 1.60
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Gyori ETO FC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-0
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Paks at home only, Gyori ETO FC away only.
Paks vs Gyori ETO FC head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Paks 0 · draws 2 · Gyori ETO FC 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-22 | Paks | 3-4 | Gyori ETO FC | NB I |
| 2025-11-01 | Gyori ETO FC | 0-0 | Paks | NB I |
| 2025-07-27 | Paks | 3-3 | Gyori ETO FC | NB I |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- MTK Budapest vs Vasas 2026-10-16
- Nyiregyhaza v Budapest Honved — match page 2026-10-17
- Ujpest vs Puskas Academy — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Debreceni VSC v Zalaegerszegi TE — match page 2026-10-18
- Kisvarda FC vs Ferencvarosi TC — team news & stats 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Paks, previous: Paks vs MTK Budapest: odds and pick
- Gyori ETO FC, previous: Gyori ETO FC vs Puskas Academy prediction