Kisvarda FC vs Ferencvarosi TC preview
Kisvarda FC faces Ferencvarosi TC with a 17% chance of winning for Kisvarda and a 60% chance for Ferencvarosi. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which occurs with a 15% probability. Kisvarda's expected goals sit at 0.77, while Ferencvarosi's expected goals are 1.41.
Kisvarda's recent form shows 2 draws and 1 win in their last 5 matches, while Ferencvarosi has 3 wins and 2 draws in the same period. The likelihood of Over 2.5 goals is 37%, and both teams to score stands at 42%. These figures suggest a low-scoring match, but if Kisvarda improves their attack or Ferencvarosi's defense falters, the outcome could change.
Kisvarda FC vs Ferencvarosi TC: model vs market
| Source | Kisvarda FC | Draw | Ferencvarosi TC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 19% | 30% | 51% |
| Market | 18% | 21% | 61% |
| Published | 18% | 23% | 59% |
| Edge | +2% | +9% | -11% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.41 vs 0.77.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.55, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.
Kisvarda FC vs Ferencvarosi TC odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Ferencvarosi TC, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-12.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kisvarda FC | 5.60 | 5.10 | -0.50 |
| Draw | 4.33 | 4.35 | +0.02 |
| Ferencvarosi TC | 1.44 | 1.47 | +0.03 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Kisvarda FC and Ferencvarosi TC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.18
- Attack rating (Kisvarda FC / Ferencvarosi TC)
- 0.71 / 1.13
- Defence rating (Kisvarda FC / Ferencvarosi TC)
- 0.87 / 0.68
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Kisvarda FC vs Ferencvarosi TC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Kisvarda FC goals. Columns: Ferencvarosi TC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Kisvarda FC vs Ferencvarosi TC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 42%
- No goals (0–0)
- 13%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Kisvarda FC vs Ferencvarosi TC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kisvarda FC | 18% | 5.51 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.34 | |
| Ferencvarosi TC | 59% | 1.70 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37% | 2.69 |
| Under 2.5 | 63% | 1.59 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42% | 2.38 |
| No | 58% | 1.72 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Kisvarda FC or draw) | 41% | 2.43 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| X2 (draw or Ferencvarosi TC) | 82% | 1.22 | |
| Handicap -1 | Ferencvarosi TC win by 2+ | 26% | 3.89 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Kisvarda FC and Ferencvarosi TC recent form
Kisvarda FC
1W 3D 2L
Ferencvarosi TC
3W 3D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Kisvarda FC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-3-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.80
- Goals against / match
- 1.40
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
Ferencvarosi TC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-1
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 1.80
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 62% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Kisvarda FC at home only, Ferencvarosi TC away only.
Kisvarda FC vs Ferencvarosi TC head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Kisvarda FC 0 · draws 1 · Ferencvarosi TC 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | Kisvarda FC | 1-1 | Ferencvarosi TC | NB I |
| 2025-12-07 | Ferencvarosi TC | 3-0 | Kisvarda FC | NB I |
| 2025-12-04 | Kisvarda FC | 0-1 | Ferencvarosi TC | NB I |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- MTK Budapest vs Vasas 2026-10-16
- Nyiregyhaza v Budapest Honved — match page 2026-10-17
- Paks vs Gyori ETO FC 2026-10-17
- Ujpest vs Puskas Academy — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Debreceni VSC v Zalaegerszegi TE — match page 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Kisvarda FC, previous: Vasas v Kisvarda FC analysis
- Ferencvarosi TC, previous: Ferencvarosi TC v Plzen analysis
- Ferencvarosi TC, next: Ferencvarosi TC vs Torreense prediction