Ferencvarosi TC vs Torreense preview
In the UEFA Europa League fixture between Ferencvarosi TC and Torreense, the 1X2 probabilities show Ferencvarosi TC at 59% to win, while Torreense sits at 15%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which has a 13% chance of occurring.
Despite Ferencvarosi TC's stronger position, the match could see fewer goals than expected, as both teams to score sits at 45% and Over 2.5 goals is also at 45%. Torreense's recent form includes a mix of results, which could impact the outcome. Ferencvarosi TC's expected goals are 1.72, while Torreense's are only 0.76, indicating a potential struggle for Torreense to find the net.
Ferencvarosi TC vs Torreense: model vs market
| Source | Ferencvarosi TC | Draw | Torreense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59% | 26% | 15% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 59% | 26% | 15% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.72 vs 0.76.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Ferencvarosi TC and Torreense expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.48
- Attack rating (Ferencvarosi TC / Torreense)
- 1.25 / 0.91
- Defence rating (Ferencvarosi TC / Torreense)
- 0.74 / 0.89
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Ferencvarosi TC vs Torreense score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Ferencvarosi TC goals. Columns: Torreense goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Ferencvarosi TC vs Torreense goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 45%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Ferencvarosi TC vs Torreense
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ferencvarosi TC | 59% | 1.69 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.89 | |
| Torreense | 15% | 6.57 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45% | 2.21 |
| Under 2.5 | 55% | 1.82 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45% | 2.22 |
| No | 55% | 1.82 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Ferencvarosi TC or draw) | 85% | 1.18 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Torreense) | 41% | 2.44 | |
| Handicap -1 | Ferencvarosi TC win by 2+ | 34% | 2.93 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Ferencvarosi TC and Torreense recent form
Ferencvarosi TC
3W 3D 0L
Torreense
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Ferencvarosi TC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-0
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 2.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 4
- They have won 7 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Torreense away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 1
League matches this season before kick-off: Ferencvarosi TC at home only, Torreense away only.
Other League Stage - 3 fixtures
- Lech Poznan vs Sunderland 2026-10-22
- Juventus v Rennes — match page 2026-10-22
- Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen — team news & stats 2026-10-22
- Sturm Graz vs Marseille 2026-10-22
- OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen — team news & stats 2026-10-22
- Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva — team news & stats 2026-10-22
- Ararat-Armenia v AZ Alkmaar — match page 2026-10-22
- Bournemouth v AC Milan — match page 2026-10-22
Before and after this match
- Ferencvarosi TC, previous: Kisvarda FC – Ferencvarosi TC, 2026-10-18
- Torreense, previous: Torreense vs Sunderland: odds and pick