Bnei Sakhnin vs Hapoel Petah Tikva preview
In the upcoming match between Bnei Sakhnin and Hapoel Petah Tikva, the 1X2 probabilities show Bnei Sakhnin at 35%, Hapoel Petah Tikva at 33%, and a draw at 32%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0, with a 15% chance. Both teams to score stands at 30%, while Over 2.5 goals is at just 20%.
Both teams have struggled recently, with Bnei Sakhnin's last five matches showing 2 draws and 3 losses, while Hapoel Petah Tikva has 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses in their last six. The expected goals are very close, with Bnei Sakhnin at 0.78 and Hapoel Petah Tikva at 0.77. A low-scoring game could make the predictions inaccurate.
Bnei Sakhnin vs Hapoel Petah Tikva: model vs market
| Source | Bnei Sakhnin | Draw | Hapoel Petah Tikva |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31% | 39% | 30% |
| Market | 36% | 30% | 34% |
| Published | 35% | 32% | 33% |
| Edge | -5% | +9% | -4% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.63, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update.
Bnei Sakhnin vs Hapoel Petah Tikva odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Bnei Sakhnin, 5 snapshots since 2026-10-12.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bnei Sakhnin | 2.55 | 2.55 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.10 | 3.10 | +0.00 |
| Hapoel Petah Tikva | 2.67 | 2.67 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Bnei Sakhnin and Hapoel Petah Tikva expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.55
- Attack rating (Bnei Sakhnin / Hapoel Petah Tikva)
- 0.45 / 0.57
- Defence rating (Bnei Sakhnin / Hapoel Petah Tikva)
- 0.94 / 1.10
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Bnei Sakhnin vs Hapoel Petah Tikva score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Bnei Sakhnin goals. Columns: Hapoel Petah Tikva goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Bnei Sakhnin vs Hapoel Petah Tikva goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 30%
- No goals (0–0)
- 23%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Bnei Sakhnin vs Hapoel Petah Tikva
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bnei Sakhnin | 35% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.14 | |
| Hapoel Petah Tikva | 33% | 3.00 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 20% | 4.91 |
| Under 2.5 | 80% | 1.26 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 30% | 3.30 |
| No | 70% | 1.44 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Bnei Sakhnin or draw) | 67% | 1.50 |
| 12 (either side) | 68% | 1.47 | |
| X2 (draw or Hapoel Petah Tikva) | 65% | 1.53 | |
| Handicap -1 | Bnei Sakhnin win by 2+ | 10% | 9.75 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Bnei Sakhnin and Hapoel Petah Tikva recent form
Bnei Sakhnin
1W 2D 3L
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Bnei Sakhnin at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 0.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
Hapoel Petah Tikva away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.33
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Bnei Sakhnin at home only, Hapoel Petah Tikva away only.
Bnei Sakhnin vs Hapoel Petah Tikva head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Bnei Sakhnin 0 · draws 1 · Hapoel Petah Tikva 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-07 | Bnei Sakhnin | 1-2 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | Ligat Ha'al |
| 2025-11-01 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 2-2 | Bnei Sakhnin | Ligat Ha'al |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- Hapoel Tel Aviv v Ironi Tiberias — match page 2026-10-17
- Hapoel Haifa v Hapoel Ramat Gan — match page 2026-10-17
- Maccabi Netanya vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Haifa 2026-10-17
- Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Katamon — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Beitar Jerusalem vs Maccabi Tel Aviv 2026-10-17
Before and after this match
- Bnei Sakhnin, previous: Maccabi Tel Aviv v Bnei Sakhnin analysis
- Hapoel Petah Tikva, previous: Hapoel Petah Tikva – Maccabi Netanya, 2026-10-10