Maccabi Netanya vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona preview
Maccabi Netanya faces Ironi Kiryat Shmona with a 52% chance of winning, compared to 24% for the visitors. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which aligns with the expected goals of 1.88 for Maccabi Netanya and 1.11 for Ironi Kiryat Shmona. There is a 57% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance for both teams to score.
Maccabi Netanya's recent form shows 2 wins in their last 6 matches, while Ironi Kiryat Shmona has lost 5 of their last 6. This disparity could influence the outcome, but the confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty. If Ironi Kiryat Shmona improves their performance, it could challenge the expected result.
Maccabi Netanya vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona: model vs market
| Source | Maccabi Netanya | Draw | Ironi Kiryat Shmona |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54% | 25% | 21% |
| Market | 51% | 25% | 24% |
| Published | 52% | 25% | 24% |
| Edge | +3% | 0% | -3% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.88 vs 1.11.
- The market prices Maccabi Netanya below the model: +3.4 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.87, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update.
Maccabi Netanya vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Maccabi Netanya, 8 snapshots since 2026-10-11.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Netanya | 1.90 | 1.81 | -0.08 |
| Draw | 3.60 | 3.68 | +0.08 |
| Ironi Kiryat Shmona | 3.40 | 3.79 | +0.39 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Maccabi Netanya and Ironi Kiryat Shmona expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.99
- Attack rating (Maccabi Netanya / Ironi Kiryat Shmona)
- 0.99 / 0.91
- Defence rating (Maccabi Netanya / Ironi Kiryat Shmona)
- 0.86 / 1.21
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Maccabi Netanya vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Maccabi Netanya goals. Columns: Ironi Kiryat Shmona goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Maccabi Netanya vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 58%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Maccabi Netanya vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Maccabi Netanya | 52% | 1.94 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.02 | |
| Ironi Kiryat Shmona | 24% | 4.25 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57% | 1.74 |
| Under 2.5 | 43% | 2.35 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58% | 1.73 |
| No | 42% | 2.38 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Maccabi Netanya or draw) | 76% | 1.31 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Ironi Kiryat Shmona) | 48% | 2.07 | |
| Handicap -1 | Maccabi Netanya win by 2+ | 32% | 3.15 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Maccabi Netanya and Ironi Kiryat Shmona recent form
Maccabi Netanya
1W 3D 2L
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1W 0D 5L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Maccabi Netanya at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Ironi Kiryat Shmona away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.33
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
League matches this season before kick-off: Maccabi Netanya at home only, Ironi Kiryat Shmona away only.
Maccabi Netanya vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Maccabi Netanya 1 · draws 1 · Ironi Kiryat Shmona 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-29 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona | 1-0 | Maccabi Netanya | Ligat Ha'al |
| 2026-02-07 | Maccabi Netanya | 1-1 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona | Ligat Ha'al |
| 2025-11-02 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona | 1-2 | Maccabi Netanya | Ligat Ha'al |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- Hapoel Tel Aviv v Ironi Tiberias — match page 2026-10-17
- Hapoel Haifa v Hapoel Ramat Gan — match page 2026-10-17
- Bnei Sakhnin vs Hapoel Petah Tikva — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Haifa 2026-10-17
- Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Katamon — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Beitar Jerusalem vs Maccabi Tel Aviv 2026-10-17
Before and after this match
- Maccabi Netanya, previous: Hapoel Petah Tikva – Maccabi Netanya, 2026-10-10
- Ironi Kiryat Shmona, previous: Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Tel Aviv: odds and pick