Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Ramat Gan preview
Hapoel Haifa faces Hapoel Ramat Gan with a 58% probability for Hapoel Haifa to win and a most likely scoreline of 2-0 at 12%. Hapoel Haifa's expected goals stand at 1.86, while Hapoel Ramat Gan's is just 0.79, indicating a significant gap in attacking potential.
However, the confidence grade is C, suggesting some uncertainty. The possibility of Over 2.5 goals is 49%, and both teams to score sits at 47%. If Hapoel Ramat Gan can improve their form, which has seen them lose 6 of their last 7 matches, they might challenge the expected outcome.
Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Ramat Gan: model vs market
| Source | Hapoel Haifa | Draw | Hapoel Ramat Gan |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 62% | 24% | 14% |
| Market | 57% | 22% | 21% |
| Published | 58% | 22% | 19% |
| Edge | +5% | +2% | -7% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.86 vs 0.79.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Hapoel Haifa below the model: +4.7 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.65, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update.
Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Ramat Gan odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Hapoel Haifa, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-12.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Haifa | 1.62 | 1.62 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 4.40 | 4.20 | -0.20 |
| Hapoel Ramat Gan | 4.20 | 4.40 | +0.20 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Hapoel Haifa and Hapoel Ramat Gan expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.65
- Attack rating (Hapoel Haifa / Hapoel Ramat Gan)
- 0.95 / 0.68
- Defence rating (Hapoel Haifa / Hapoel Ramat Gan)
- 0.82 / 1.26
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Ramat Gan score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Hapoel Haifa goals. Columns: Hapoel Ramat Gan goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Ramat Gan goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 47%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Ramat Gan
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hapoel Haifa | 58% | 1.72 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.45 | |
| Hapoel Ramat Gan | 19% | 5.18 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49% | 2.02 |
| Under 2.5 | 51% | 1.98 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47% | 2.12 |
| No | 53% | 1.90 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Hapoel Haifa or draw) | 81% | 1.24 |
| 12 (either side) | 78% | 1.29 | |
| X2 (draw or Hapoel Ramat Gan) | 42% | 2.39 | |
| Handicap -1 | Hapoel Haifa win by 2+ | 37% | 2.68 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Hapoel Haifa and Hapoel Ramat Gan recent form
Hapoel Haifa
2W 3D 1L
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1W 0D 5L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Hapoel Haifa at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-0
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 0.67
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Hapoel Ramat Gan away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.33
- Goals against / match
- 2.33
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Hapoel Haifa at home only, Hapoel Ramat Gan away only.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- Hapoel Tel Aviv v Ironi Tiberias — match page 2026-10-17
- Bnei Sakhnin vs Hapoel Petah Tikva — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Maccabi Netanya vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Haifa 2026-10-17
- Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Katamon — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Beitar Jerusalem vs Maccabi Tel Aviv 2026-10-17
Before and after this match
- Hapoel Haifa, previous: Hapoel Haifa vs Maccabi Petah Tikva: odds and pick
- Hapoel Ramat Gan, previous: Hapoel Ramat Gan v Beitar Jerusalem analysis