Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Beitar Jerusalem Prediction & Betting Tips 10/10/2026

Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Beitar Jerusalem: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Hapoel Ramat Gan	Draw	Beitar Jerusalem
Model	30%	29%	41%
Market	—	—	—
Published	30%	29%	41%
Edge	—	—	—

Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Hapoel Ramat Gan and Beitar Jerusalem expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.18Hapoel Ramat Gan

1.40Beitar Jerusalem

Total expected goals: 2.58
Attack rating (Hapoel Ramat Gan / Beitar Jerusalem): 0.76 / 0.93
Defence rating (Hapoel Ramat Gan / Beitar Jerusalem): 1.07 / 0.98

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Beitar Jerusalem score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 8.8% 9.3% 7.4% 3.5% 1.7% 1 7.6% 13.8% 8.8% 4.1% 2.0% 2 5.2% 7.4% 5.2% 2.4% 1.2% 3 2.1% 2.9% 2.0% 1.0% 0.5% 4+ 0.8% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%

Rows: Hapoel Ramat Gan goals. Columns: Beitar Jerusalem goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Beitar Jerusalem goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 91%

Over 1.5 74%

Over 2.5 48%

Over 3.5 26%

Both teams to score: 54%
No goals (0–0): 9%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Beitar Jerusalem

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Hapoel Ramat Gan	30%	3.30
	Draw	29%	3.47
	Beitar Jerusalem	41%	2.45
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	48%	2.09
	Under 2.5	52%	1.91
Both teams to score	Yes	54%	1.87
	No	46%	2.15
Double chance	1X (Hapoel Ramat Gan or draw)	59%	1.69
	12 (either side)	71%	1.40
	X2 (draw or Beitar Jerusalem)	70%	1.44
Handicap -1	Beitar Jerusalem win by 2+	20%	5.01
	Push (exactly one goal)	21%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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