Updated

Ligat Ha'al · Matchday 6

Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Netanya

· HaMoshava Stadium, Petah Tikva

Full time1 – 1

Alin prediction was Maccabi Netanya to win

Cblended with market oddsMissed

Predicted score 0 – 1

12% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Hapoel Petah TikvaDrawMaccabi Netanya

Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Netanya: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceHapoel Petah TikvaDrawMaccabi Netanya
Model17%26%57%
Market22%24%53%
Published21%25%54%
Edge-1%0%+1%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.70 vs 0.83.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Netanya odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Maccabi Netanya, 14 snapshots since 2026-10-04.

Opened 1.67Now 1.73 +0.06
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Hapoel Petah Tikva4.294.10-0.19
Draw3.923.75-0.17
Maccabi Netanya1.671.73+0.06

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Hapoel Petah Tikva and Maccabi Netanya expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.83Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.70Maccabi Netanya
Total expected goals
2.53
Attack rating (Hapoel Petah Tikva / Maccabi Netanya)
0.54 / 1.03
Defence rating (Hapoel Petah Tikva / Maccabi Netanya)
1.17 / 0.97

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Netanya score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 9.1% 12.5% 11.5% 6.5% 4.1% 1 5.5% 12.4% 9.5% 5.4% 3.4% 2 2.7% 4.7% 4.0% 2.2% 1.4% 3 0.8% 1.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.4% 4+ 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Rows: Hapoel Petah Tikva goals. Columns: Maccabi Netanya goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Netanya goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 91%
Over 1.5 73%
Over 2.5 46%
Over 3.5 25%
Both teams to score
47%
No goals (0–0)
9%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Netanya

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Hapoel Petah Tikva21%4.75
Draw25%4.01
Maccabi Netanya54%1.85
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.546%2.16
Under 2.554%1.86
Both teams to scoreYes47%2.12
No53%1.89
Double chance1X (Hapoel Petah Tikva or draw)46%2.18
12 (either side)75%1.33
X2 (draw or Maccabi Netanya)79%1.27
Handicap -1Maccabi Netanya win by 2+32%3.09
Push (exactly one goal)25%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Hapoel Petah Tikva and Maccabi Netanya recent form

Hapoel Petah Tikva 1W 1D 4L
Maccabi Netanya 2W 2D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Hapoel Petah Tikva at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
0.50
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
1 of 2
  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.

Maccabi Netanya away

Record (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
2.00
Goals against / match
1.50
Clean sheets
0 of 2
  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.

League matches this season before kick-off: Hapoel Petah Tikva at home only, Maccabi Netanya away only.

Expected lineups

Hapoel Petah Tikva lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 O. Katz
  2. 72 Y. Nassar
  3. 20 O. Israelov
  4. 5 A. Moucketou-Moussounda
  5. 12 S. Israeli
  6. 29 B. Gontran
  7. 6 Etai Ehud
  8. 14 E. Asante
  9. 16 R. David
  10. 7 R. Levy
  11. 9 E. Bille

Bench: H. Shalom, T. Altman, A. Mashiah, G. Badash, Noam Cohen, Clé

Maccabi Netanya lineup · 4-3-3

  1. 22 Samu
  2. 24 A. Cohen
  3. 6 B. Konaté
  4. 23 O. Verdon
  5. 12 A. Azugi
  6. 13 N. Niddam
  7. 32 A. Ouattara
  8. 16 B. Zaarura
  9. 7 Isaac
  10. 83 Matheus Davó
  11. 10 O. Bilu

Bench: N. Antman, D. Kulikov, E. Almog, D. Hugi, M. Levi, A. Talpa, K. Jaber, Benny Feldman, G. Simion

Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Netanya head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: Hapoel Petah Tikva 3 · draws 1 · Maccabi Netanya 6.

Hapoel Petah TikvaDrawsMaccabi Netanya
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-08-05Hapoel Petah Tikva0-2Maccabi NetanyaToto Cup Ligat Al
2025-12-31Maccabi Netanya0-2Hapoel Petah TikvaLigat Ha'al
2025-09-13Hapoel Petah Tikva3-1Maccabi NetanyaLigat Ha'al
2025-07-29Hapoel Petah Tikva2-3Maccabi NetanyaToto Cup Ligat Al
2024-05-19Hapoel Petah Tikva1-3Maccabi NetanyaLigat Ha'al
2024-01-13Hapoel Petah Tikva2-0Maccabi NetanyaLigat Ha'al
2023-09-17Maccabi Netanya4-1Hapoel Petah TikvaLigat Ha'al
2021-12-16Hapoel Petah Tikva0-1Maccabi NetanyaState Cup
2017-05-08Hapoel Petah Tikva1-1Maccabi NetanyaLiga Leumit
2016-12-26Maccabi Netanya2-1Hapoel Petah TikvaLiga Leumit

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Before and after this match