Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Haifa preview
In the upcoming match between Maccabi Petah Tikva and Maccabi Haifa, the 1X2 probabilities show Maccabi Haifa at 64% to win, while Maccabi Petah Tikva is at 18%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with an 8% chance. The expected goals indicate Maccabi Petah Tikva with 1.51 and Maccabi Haifa with 2.79, suggesting a strong attacking performance from Haifa.
There is a high likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 80%, and both teams to score is at 74%. However, Maccabi Petah Tikva's recent form, with 4 losses in their last 5 matches, could affect their performance. A surprise result is possible if they manage to improve their form significantly.
Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Haifa: model vs market
| Source | Maccabi Petah Tikva | Draw | Maccabi Haifa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 18% | 18% | 64% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 18% | 18% | 64% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.79 vs 1.51.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Maccabi Petah Tikva and Maccabi Haifa expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.30
- Attack rating (Maccabi Petah Tikva / Maccabi Haifa)
- 0.99 / 1.52
- Defence rating (Maccabi Petah Tikva / Maccabi Haifa)
- 1.29 / 0.98
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Haifa score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Maccabi Petah Tikva goals. Columns: Maccabi Haifa goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Haifa goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 74%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Haifa
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Maccabi Petah Tikva | 18% | 5.48 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.58 | |
| Maccabi Haifa | 64% | 1.57 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 80% | 1.25 |
| Under 2.5 | 20% | 5.08 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74% | 1.36 |
| No | 26% | 3.80 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Maccabi Petah Tikva or draw) | 36% | 2.77 |
| 12 (either side) | 82% | 1.22 | |
| X2 (draw or Maccabi Haifa) | 82% | 1.22 | |
| Handicap -1 | Maccabi Haifa win by 2+ | 45% | 2.24 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Maccabi Petah Tikva and Maccabi Haifa recent form
Maccabi Petah Tikva
2W 0D 4L
Maccabi Haifa
5W 0D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Maccabi Petah Tikva at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 2.33
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
Maccabi Haifa away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 3.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Maccabi Petah Tikva at home only, Maccabi Haifa away only.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- Hapoel Tel Aviv v Ironi Tiberias — match page 2026-10-17
- Hapoel Haifa v Hapoel Ramat Gan — match page 2026-10-17
- Bnei Sakhnin vs Hapoel Petah Tikva — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Maccabi Netanya vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Katamon — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Beitar Jerusalem vs Maccabi Tel Aviv 2026-10-17
Before and after this match
- Maccabi Petah Tikva, previous: Hapoel Haifa vs Maccabi Petah Tikva: odds and pick
- Maccabi Haifa, previous: Hapoel Katamon vs Maccabi Haifa prediction