Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Maccabi Petah Tikva preview
Hapoel Ramat Gan faces Maccabi Petah Tikva with a 32% chance of winning for the home side and a 41% chance for the visitors. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which aligns with the expected goals of 1.53 for Hapoel Ramat Gan and 1.51 for Maccabi Petah Tikva.
The model suggests a 59% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance for both teams to score. However, recent form shows Hapoel Ramat Gan has two wins in their last six matches, while Maccabi Petah Tikva has only one win in their last six, which could impact the outcome. The confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Maccabi Petah Tikva: model vs market
| Source | Hapoel Ramat Gan | Draw | Maccabi Petah Tikva |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37% | 26% | 36% |
| Market | 33% | 26% | 41% |
| Published | 34% | 26% | 40% |
| Edge | +4% | 0% | -5% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.29, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update.
Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Maccabi Petah Tikva odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Maccabi Petah Tikva, 4 snapshots since 2026-10-18.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Ramat Gan | 3.01 | 2.78 | -0.23 |
| Draw | 3.50 | 3.54 | +0.04 |
| Maccabi Petah Tikva | 2.18 | 2.25 | +0.07 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Hapoel Ramat Gan and Maccabi Petah Tikva expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.04
- Attack rating (Hapoel Ramat Gan / Maccabi Petah Tikva)
- 0.76 / 0.96
- Defence rating (Hapoel Ramat Gan / Maccabi Petah Tikva)
- 1.12 / 1.30
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Maccabi Petah Tikva score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Hapoel Ramat Gan goals. Columns: Maccabi Petah Tikva goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Maccabi Petah Tikva goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 62%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Maccabi Petah Tikva
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hapoel Ramat Gan | 34% | 2.92 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.83 | |
| Maccabi Petah Tikva | 40% | 2.52 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59% | 1.71 |
| Under 2.5 | 41% | 2.41 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62% | 1.61 |
| No | 38% | 2.64 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Hapoel Ramat Gan or draw) | 60% | 1.66 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Maccabi Petah Tikva) | 66% | 1.52 | |
| Handicap -1 | Maccabi Petah Tikva win by 2+ | 18% | 5.59 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Hapoel Ramat Gan and Maccabi Petah Tikva recent form
Hapoel Ramat Gan
2W 0D 4L
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1W 0D 5L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Hapoel Ramat Gan at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Maccabi Petah Tikva away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
League matches this season before kick-off: Hapoel Ramat Gan at home only, Maccabi Petah Tikva away only.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Haifa 2026-10-24
- Maccabi Haifa v Hapoel Beer Sheva — match page 2026-10-24
- Hapoel Katamon vs Hapoel Tel Aviv — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Beitar Jerusalem 2026-10-24
- Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Bnei Sakhnin — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Ironi Tiberias vs Maccabi Netanya 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- Hapoel Ramat Gan, previous: Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Ramat Gan: odds and pick
- Maccabi Petah Tikva, previous: Maccabi Petah Tikva – Maccabi Haifa, 2026-10-17