Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Haifa preview
Maccabi Tel Aviv has a 55% chance to win against Hapoel Haifa, who has only a 20% chance. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which suggests a competitive match. Maccabi Tel Aviv's expected goals stand at 1.84, while Hapoel Haifa's is lower at 1.04.
Both teams have a 55% probability of scoring, indicating potential for an entertaining game. Maccabi Tel Aviv's recent form shows they are strong with four wins in their last six matches. However, Hapoel Haifa has shown some resilience with two wins in their last six. This could impact the outcome, making the match less predictable.
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Haifa: model vs market
| Source | Maccabi Tel Aviv | Draw | Hapoel Haifa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55% | 25% | 20% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 55% | 25% | 20% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.84 vs 1.04.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Maccabi Tel Aviv and Hapoel Haifa expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.88
- Attack rating (Maccabi Tel Aviv / Hapoel Haifa)
- 1.41 / 0.87
- Defence rating (Maccabi Tel Aviv / Hapoel Haifa)
- 0.84 / 0.84
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Haifa score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Maccabi Tel Aviv goals. Columns: Hapoel Haifa goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Haifa goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 55%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Haifa
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 55% | 1.81 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.02 | |
| Hapoel Haifa | 20% | 5.00 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55% | 1.82 |
| Under 2.5 | 45% | 2.21 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55% | 1.81 |
| No | 45% | 2.24 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Maccabi Tel Aviv or draw) | 80% | 1.25 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Hapoel Haifa) | 45% | 2.23 | |
| Handicap -1 | Maccabi Tel Aviv win by 2+ | 32% | 3.10 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Maccabi Tel Aviv and Hapoel Haifa recent form
Maccabi Tel Aviv
4W 2D 0L
Hapoel Haifa
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Maccabi Tel Aviv at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-0
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 2.33
- Goals against / match
- 0.67
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 3.0 goals per match.
- They average 3.7 goals per game on the road against 2.3 at home.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Hapoel Haifa away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
League matches this season before kick-off: Maccabi Tel Aviv at home only, Hapoel Haifa away only.
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Haifa head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Maccabi Tel Aviv 2 · draws 0 · Hapoel Haifa 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Hapoel Haifa | 1-4 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| 2025-12-03 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 2-1 | Hapoel Haifa | Ligat Ha'al |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- Maccabi Haifa v Hapoel Beer Sheva — match page 2026-10-24
- Hapoel Katamon vs Hapoel Tel Aviv — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Beitar Jerusalem 2026-10-24
- Hapoel Ramat Gan v Maccabi Petah Tikva — match page 2026-10-24
- Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Bnei Sakhnin — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Ironi Tiberias vs Maccabi Netanya 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- Maccabi Tel Aviv, previous: Beitar Jerusalem v Maccabi Tel Aviv analysis
- Hapoel Haifa, previous: Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Ramat Gan: odds and pick