Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Beer Sheva preview
Maccabi Haifa faces Hapoel Beer Sheva with a 55% chance of winning compared to Hapoel's 22%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which aligns with Maccabi's expected goals of 2.10 against Hapoel's 1.29.
Both teams to score stands at 65%, while Over 2.5 goals is at 66%. Maccabi's recent form shows 5 wins and 1 loss, while Hapoel has 3 wins, 2 losses, and 1 draw. However, the head-to-head record in the last 4 matches shows Maccabi Haifa with 1 win, 1 draw, and Hapoel Beer Sheva with 2 wins, indicating potential challenges for Maccabi despite their stronger form.
Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Beer Sheva: model vs market
| Source | Maccabi Haifa | Draw | Hapoel Beer Sheva |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51% | 24% | 25% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 51% | 24% | 25% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.95 vs 1.33.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Maccabi Haifa and Hapoel Beer Sheva expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.28
- Attack rating (Maccabi Haifa / Hapoel Beer Sheva)
- 1.52 / 1.01
- Defence rating (Maccabi Haifa / Hapoel Beer Sheva)
- 0.93 / 0.83
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Beer Sheva score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Maccabi Haifa goals. Columns: Hapoel Beer Sheva goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Beer Sheva goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 64%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Maccabi Haifa | 51% | 1.97 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.17 | |
| Hapoel Beer Sheva | 25% | 3.98 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64% | 1.57 |
| Under 2.5 | 36% | 2.75 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64% | 1.56 |
| No | 36% | 2.78 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Maccabi Haifa or draw) | 75% | 1.34 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or Hapoel Beer Sheva) | 49% | 2.04 | |
| Handicap -1 | Maccabi Haifa win by 2+ | 30% | 3.35 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Maccabi Haifa and Hapoel Beer Sheva recent form
Maccabi Haifa
5W 0D 1L
Hapoel Beer Sheva
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Maccabi Haifa at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 2.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.7 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game on the road against 2.3 at home.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Hapoel Beer Sheva away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.33
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 3
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Maccabi Haifa at home only, Hapoel Beer Sheva away only.
Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Beer Sheva head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Maccabi Haifa 1 · draws 1 · Hapoel Beer Sheva 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 2-5 | Maccabi Haifa | Ligat Ha'al |
| 2026-05-06 | Maccabi Haifa | 0-1 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | Ligat Ha'al |
| 2026-01-10 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 0-0 | Maccabi Haifa | Ligat Ha'al |
| 2025-09-29 | Maccabi Haifa | 0-1 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | Ligat Ha'al |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Haifa 2026-10-24
- Hapoel Katamon vs Hapoel Tel Aviv — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Beitar Jerusalem 2026-10-24
- Hapoel Ramat Gan v Maccabi Petah Tikva — match page 2026-10-24
- Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Bnei Sakhnin — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Ironi Tiberias vs Maccabi Netanya 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- Maccabi Haifa, previous: Maccabi Petah Tikva – Maccabi Haifa, 2026-10-17
- Hapoel Beer Sheva, previous: Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva prediction
- Hapoel Beer Sheva, next: Hapoel Beer Sheva vs OFI prediction