Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Bnei Sakhnin preview
In the match between Ironi Kiryat Shmona and Bnei Sakhnin, the 1X2 probabilities show Ironi Kiryat Shmona at 43%, with the most likely scoreline being 1-0 at 13%. Bnei Sakhnin's chances are lower at 27%, which could be influenced by their recent form of W-D-W-L-L-L compared to Ironi Kiryat Shmona's L-L-L-L-L-W.
The expected goals indicate Ironi Kiryat Shmona at 1.09 and Bnei Sakhnin at 0.94. While there's a 33% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance for both teams to score, these factors could shift the dynamics if Bnei Sakhnin improves their performance. The confidence grade for this match is C, suggesting uncertainty in the outcome.
Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Bnei Sakhnin: model vs market
| Source | Ironi Kiryat Shmona | Draw | Bnei Sakhnin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37% | 33% | 30% |
| Market | 46% | 28% | 26% |
| Published | 43% | 29% | 27% |
| Edge | -8% | +5% | +3% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.05, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update.
Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Bnei Sakhnin odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Ironi Kiryat Shmona, 4 snapshots since 2026-10-18.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ironi Kiryat Shmona | 2.07 | 2.02 | -0.05 |
| Draw | 3.20 | 3.27 | +0.07 |
| Bnei Sakhnin | 3.47 | 3.50 | +0.03 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Ironi Kiryat Shmona and Bnei Sakhnin expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.03
- Attack rating (Ironi Kiryat Shmona / Bnei Sakhnin)
- 0.82 / 0.56
- Defence rating (Ironi Kiryat Shmona / Bnei Sakhnin)
- 1.18 / 0.85
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Bnei Sakhnin score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Ironi Kiryat Shmona goals. Columns: Bnei Sakhnin goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Bnei Sakhnin goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 42%
- No goals (0–0)
- 15%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Bnei Sakhnin
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona | 43% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 | |
| Bnei Sakhnin | 27% | 3.69 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 33% | 3.02 |
| Under 2.5 | 67% | 1.49 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42% | 2.40 |
| No | 58% | 1.72 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Ironi Kiryat Shmona or draw) | 73% | 1.37 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.42 | |
| X2 (draw or Bnei Sakhnin) | 57% | 1.77 | |
| Handicap -1 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona win by 2+ | 16% | 6.41 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Ironi Kiryat Shmona and Bnei Sakhnin recent form
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1W 0D 5L
Bnei Sakhnin
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Ironi Kiryat Shmona at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.33
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
Bnei Sakhnin away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Ironi Kiryat Shmona at home only, Bnei Sakhnin away only.
Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Bnei Sakhnin head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Ironi Kiryat Shmona 2 · draws 1 · Bnei Sakhnin 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | Bnei Sakhnin | 0-4 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona | Ligat Ha'al |
| 2026-04-04 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona | 2-0 | Bnei Sakhnin | Ligat Ha'al |
| 2025-12-02 | Bnei Sakhnin | 1-1 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona | Ligat Ha'al |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Haifa 2026-10-24
- Maccabi Haifa v Hapoel Beer Sheva — match page 2026-10-24
- Hapoel Katamon vs Hapoel Tel Aviv — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Beitar Jerusalem 2026-10-24
- Hapoel Ramat Gan v Maccabi Petah Tikva — match page 2026-10-24
- Ironi Tiberias vs Maccabi Netanya 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- Ironi Kiryat Shmona, previous: Maccabi Netanya vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona: odds and pick
- Bnei Sakhnin, previous: Bnei Sakhnin vs Hapoel Petah Tikva prediction