Ironi Tiberias vs Maccabi Netanya preview
In the upcoming match between Ironi Tiberias and Maccabi Netanya, the 1X2 probabilities show Maccabi Netanya at 52%, while Ironi Tiberias sits at 24%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, occurring with an 11% chance. Maccabi Netanya's recent form includes 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 matches, contrasting with Ironi Tiberias, who have 2 wins and 3 losses.
While both teams to score has a 47% likelihood, Ironi Tiberias has an expected goals figure of 1.05 compared to Maccabi Netanya's 1.19. This suggests that Maccabi Netanya may have the edge in offensive strength. However, Ironi Tiberias has previously won 2 of their last 3 encounters against Maccabi Netanya, which could influence the outcome.
Ironi Tiberias vs Maccabi Netanya: model vs market
| Source | Ironi Tiberias | Draw | Maccabi Netanya |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31% | 31% | 38% |
| Market | 19% | 22% | 59% |
| Published | 22% | 24% | 54% |
| Edge | +12% | +10% | -22% |
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.60, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update.
Ironi Tiberias vs Maccabi Netanya odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Maccabi Netanya, 4 snapshots since 2026-10-18.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ironi Tiberias | 4.38 | 4.92 | +0.54 |
| Draw | 4.12 | 4.20 | +0.08 |
| Maccabi Netanya | 1.64 | 1.55 | -0.09 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Ironi Tiberias and Maccabi Netanya expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.24
- Attack rating (Ironi Tiberias / Maccabi Netanya)
- 0.87 / 0.95
- Defence rating (Ironi Tiberias / Maccabi Netanya)
- 0.89 / 0.78
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Ironi Tiberias vs Maccabi Netanya score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Ironi Tiberias goals. Columns: Maccabi Netanya goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Ironi Tiberias vs Maccabi Netanya goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 47%
- No goals (0–0)
- 12%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Ironi Tiberias vs Maccabi Netanya
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ironi Tiberias | 22% | 4.59 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.12 | |
| Maccabi Netanya | 54% | 1.85 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39% | 2.58 |
| Under 2.5 | 61% | 1.63 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47% | 2.15 |
| No | 53% | 1.87 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Ironi Tiberias or draw) | 46% | 2.17 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or Maccabi Netanya) | 78% | 1.28 | |
| Handicap -1 | Maccabi Netanya win by 2+ | 17% | 6.03 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Ironi Tiberias and Maccabi Netanya recent form
Ironi Tiberias
1W 1D 4L
Maccabi Netanya
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Ironi Tiberias at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Maccabi Netanya away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Ironi Tiberias at home only, Maccabi Netanya away only.
Ironi Tiberias vs Maccabi Netanya head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Ironi Tiberias 2 · draws 0 · Maccabi Netanya 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Ironi Tiberias | 4-3 | Maccabi Netanya | Ligat Ha'al |
| 2026-01-03 | Ironi Tiberias | 4-0 | Maccabi Netanya | Ligat Ha'al |
| 2025-09-20 | Maccabi Netanya | 5-2 | Ironi Tiberias | Ligat Ha'al |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Haifa 2026-10-24
- Maccabi Haifa v Hapoel Beer Sheva — match page 2026-10-24
- Hapoel Katamon vs Hapoel Tel Aviv — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Beitar Jerusalem 2026-10-24
- Hapoel Ramat Gan v Maccabi Petah Tikva — match page 2026-10-24
- Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Bnei Sakhnin — team news & stats 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- Ironi Tiberias, previous: Hapoel Tel Aviv v Ironi Tiberias analysis
- Maccabi Netanya, previous: Maccabi Netanya vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona: odds and pick