Kairat Almaty vs Altay preview
Kairat Almaty faces Altay with a 56% chance of winning according to our model. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 10% probability. Kairat Almaty has an expected goals figure of 2.14, while Altay's is 1.29. However, Kairat Almaty's recent form shows 2 losses in their last 3 matches, which could impact their performance.
The model predicts a high likelihood of goals, with 67% for Over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score. Altay has shown some resilience with a recent win, which might challenge Kairat Almaty. With a confidence grade of C, the match could go in unexpected directions if Kairat Almaty fails to capitalize on their home advantage.
Kairat Almaty vs Altay: model vs market
| Source | Kairat Almaty | Draw | Altay |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55% | 22% | 23% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 55% | 22% | 23% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.20 vs 1.39.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Kairat Almaty and Altay expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.59
- Attack rating (Kairat Almaty / Altay)
- 1.20 / 1.05
- Defence rating (Kairat Almaty / Altay)
- 1.17 / 1.24
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Kairat Almaty vs Altay score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Kairat Almaty goals. Columns: Altay goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Kairat Almaty vs Altay goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 68%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Kairat Almaty vs Altay
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kairat Almaty | 55% | 1.82 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.54 | |
| Altay | 23% | 4.34 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 | 30% | 3.29 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68% | 1.48 |
| No | 32% | 3.09 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Kairat Almaty or draw) | 77% | 1.30 |
| 12 (either side) | 78% | 1.28 | |
| X2 (draw or Altay) | 45% | 2.22 | |
| Handicap -1 | Kairat Almaty win by 2+ | 34% | 2.92 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Kairat Almaty and Altay recent form
Kairat Almaty
2W 2D 2L
Altay
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Kairat Almaty at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 10-3-1
- Win rate
- 71%
- Goals for / match
- 2.36
- Goals against / match
- 0.64
- Clean sheets
- 9 of 14
- They have won 19 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
- They have kept 14 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 10 matches.
Altay away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-9
- Win rate
- 21%
- Goals for / match
- 0.93
- Goals against / match
- 1.71
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 14
- They have won 5 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 28 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Kairat Almaty at home only, Altay away only.
Kairat Almaty vs Altay head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Kairat Almaty 1 · draws 0 · Altay 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | Altay | 0-1 | Kairat Almaty | Kazakhstan Premier League |
Other Matchday 30 fixtures
- FK Tobol Kostanay vs Aktobe 2026-10-31
- Kaspiy v Kyzyl-Zhar — match page 2026-10-31
- Zhetysu vs FC Astana — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Irtysh vs Ordabasy 2026-10-31
- Zhenys v Kaisar — match page 2026-10-31
- Ulytau vs Atyrau — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Yelimay Semey vs Okzhetpes 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Kairat Almaty, previous: Aktobe – Kairat Almaty, 2026-10-25
- Kairat Almaty, next: Atalanta – Kairat Almaty, 2026-11-05
- Altay, previous: Altay v Yelimay Semey analysis