Ulytau vs Atyrau Prediction & Betting Tips 31/10/2026

Ulytau vs Atyrau preview

In the upcoming match between Ulytau and Atyrau, the 1X2 probabilities show Atyrau at 41%, Ulytau at 30%, and a draw at 29%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which occurs with a 7% chance. Ulytau's expected goals stand at 1.54, while Atyrau's is lower at 1.06, indicating a potential edge for Atyrau.

However, Ulytau's recent form includes 3 losses in their last 5 matches, while Atyrau has also struggled with 3 losses in their last 5. The model suggests a 48% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance for both teams to score. These factors could influence the outcome, making it less predictable.

Ulytau vs Atyrau: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Ulytau	Draw	Atyrau
Model	47%	28%	25%
Market	25%	29%	46%
Published	30%	29%	41%
Edge	+6%	0%	-5%

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.03, recorded 2026-10-27 — the top price across the 1 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -17.0% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

Ulytau and Atyrau expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.54Ulytau

1.06Atyrau

Total expected goals: 2.59
Attack rating (Ulytau / Atyrau): 0.83 / 0.82
Defence rating (Ulytau / Atyrau): 1.12 / 1.26

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Ulytau vs Atyrau score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 8.7% 6.7% 4.2% 1.5% 0.5% 1 10.3% 13.4% 6.4% 2.3% 0.7% 2 8.8% 9.3% 4.9% 1.7% 0.6% 3 4.5% 4.8% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3% 4+ 2.5% 2.6% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%

Rows: Ulytau goals. Columns: Atyrau goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Ulytau vs Atyrau goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 91%

Over 1.5 74%

Over 2.5 48%

Over 3.5 26%

Both teams to score: 52%
No goals (0–0): 9%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Ulytau vs Atyrau

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Ulytau	30%	3.31
	Draw	29%	3.47
	Atyrau	41%	2.45
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	48%	2.08
	Under 2.5	52%	1.92
Both teams to score	Yes	52%	1.91
	No	48%	2.10
Double chance	1X (Ulytau or draw)	59%	1.69
	12 (either side)	71%	1.41
	X2 (draw or Atyrau)	70%	1.43
Handicap -1	Atyrau win by 2+	10%	10.26
	Push (exactly one goal)	15%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Compare the market for this pick

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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Ulytau and Atyrau recent form

Ulytau 1W 1D 4L

Atyrau 1W 1D 4L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Ulytau at home

Record (W-D-L): 8-2-4
Win rate: 57%
Goals for / match: 1.14
Goals against / match: 0.86
Clean sheets: 6 of 14

They have won 9 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
They have kept 8 clean sheets in 28 matches.
They have failed to score in 8 of 28 matches.
31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Atyrau away

Record (W-D-L): 3-7-4
Win rate: 21%
Goals for / match: 0.79
Goals against / match: 0.93
Clean sheets: 3 of 14

They have won 5 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
They have kept 7 clean sheets in 28 matches.
They have failed to score in 10 of 28 matches.
44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Ulytau at home only, Atyrau away only.

Ulytau vs Atyrau head-to-head

Last 3 meetings: Ulytau 1 · draws 1 · Atyrau 1.

33% 33% 34%

UlytauDrawsAtyrau

Previous meetings
Date	Home	Score	Away	Competition
2026-03-08	Atyrau	0-0	Ulytau	Kazakhstan Premier League
2025-09-27	Ulytau	1-5	Atyrau	Kazakhstan Premier League
2025-06-14	Atyrau	0-1	Ulytau	Kazakhstan Premier League

Other Matchday 30 fixtures

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Zhetysu vs FC Astana — team news & stats 2026-10-31
Irtysh vs Ordabasy 2026-10-31
Zhenys v Kaisar — match page 2026-10-31
Yelimay Semey vs Okzhetpes 2026-10-31

Before and after this match

Ulytau, previous: Kyzyl-Zhar vs Ulytau: odds and pick
Atyrau, previous: Atyrau v Irtysh analysis

Prediction snapshot Atyrau to win Predicted score 0 – 1 C Bet on Atyrau