Yelimay Semey vs Okzhetpes preview
In the upcoming match between Yelimay Semey and Okzhetpes, the 1X2 probabilities show a close contest with Okzhetpes at 38% and Yelimay Semey at 36%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which reflects the expected goals of 1.51 for Yelimay Semey and 1.56 for Okzhetpes.
Both teams to score stands at 63%, indicating a good chance for goals from both sides. However, recent form could impact the outcome, as Yelimay Semey has won 3 of their last 6 matches, while Okzhetpes has also shown inconsistency with 3 wins in their last 6. The confidence grade is C, suggesting some uncertainty in the predictions.
Yelimay Semey vs Okzhetpes: model vs market
| Source | Yelimay Semey | Draw | Okzhetpes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36% | 25% | 39% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 36% | 25% | 39% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Yelimay Semey and Okzhetpes expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.23
- Attack rating (Yelimay Semey / Okzhetpes)
- 1.10 / 1.25
- Defence rating (Yelimay Semey / Okzhetpes)
- 1.15 / 0.98
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Yelimay Semey vs Okzhetpes score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Yelimay Semey goals. Columns: Okzhetpes goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Yelimay Semey vs Okzhetpes goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 65%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Yelimay Semey vs Okzhetpes
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Yelimay Semey | 36% | 2.78 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.94 | |
| Okzhetpes | 39% | 2.58 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63% | 1.60 |
| Under 2.5 | 37% | 2.67 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65% | 1.54 |
| No | 35% | 2.87 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Yelimay Semey or draw) | 61% | 1.63 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Okzhetpes) | 64% | 1.56 | |
| Handicap -1 | Okzhetpes win by 2+ | 20% | 4.97 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Yelimay Semey and Okzhetpes recent form
Yelimay Semey
4W 1D 1L
Okzhetpes
4W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Yelimay Semey at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-3-5
- Win rate
- 43%
- Goals for / match
- 1.36
- Goals against / match
- 1.36
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 14
- They have won 12 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Okzhetpes away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-2-7
- Win rate
- 36%
- Goals for / match
- 1.29
- Goals against / match
- 1.71
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 14
- They have won 14 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Yelimay Semey at home only, Okzhetpes away only.
Yelimay Semey vs Okzhetpes head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Yelimay Semey 0 · draws 2 · Okzhetpes 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | Okzhetpes | 1-1 | Yelimay Semey | Kazakhstan Premier League |
| 2025-08-02 | Okzhetpes | 1-1 | Yelimay Semey | Kazakhstan Premier League |
| 2025-05-04 | Yelimay Semey | 0-2 | Okzhetpes | Kazakhstan Premier League |
Other Matchday 30 fixtures
- Kairat Almaty vs Altay — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- FK Tobol Kostanay vs Aktobe 2026-10-31
- Kaspiy v Kyzyl-Zhar — match page 2026-10-31
- Zhetysu vs FC Astana — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Irtysh vs Ordabasy 2026-10-31
- Zhenys v Kaisar — match page 2026-10-31
- Ulytau vs Atyrau — team news & stats 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Yelimay Semey, previous: Altay v Yelimay Semey analysis
- Okzhetpes, previous: Okzhetpes vs Kaspiy prediction