Zhenys vs Kaisar preview
In the Kazakhstan Premier League fixture, Zhenys has a 50% chance to win against Kaisar, who has a 23% probability. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which aligns with Zhenys’ expected goals of 1.65 compared to Kaisar’s 1.06. However, the recent form shows Zhenys with 1 win in their last 6 matches and Kaisar with the same, indicating both teams struggle for consistency.
The model suggests a 51% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 54% probability for both teams to score. While these figures indicate potential for goals, the head-to-head record shows no wins for either team in their last 3 encounters, with all ending in draws. This could impact the outcome, making it less predictable.
Zhenys vs Kaisar: model vs market
| Source | Zhenys | Draw | Kaisar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50% | 27% | 23% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 50% | 27% | 23% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.65 vs 1.06.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Zhenys and Kaisar expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.70
- Attack rating (Zhenys / Kaisar)
- 0.99 / 0.74
- Defence rating (Zhenys / Kaisar)
- 1.25 / 1.13
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Zhenys vs Kaisar score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Zhenys goals. Columns: Kaisar goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Zhenys vs Kaisar goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 54%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Zhenys vs Kaisar
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zhenys | 50% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.72 | |
| Kaisar | 23% | 4.32 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51% | 1.97 |
| Under 2.5 | 49% | 2.03 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54% | 1.86 |
| No | 46% | 2.16 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Zhenys or draw) | 77% | 1.30 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.37 | |
| X2 (draw or Kaisar) | 50% | 2.00 | |
| Handicap -1 | Zhenys win by 2+ | 27% | 3.67 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Zhenys and Kaisar recent form
Zhenys
1W 1D 4L
Kaisar
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Zhenys at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-5-3
- Win rate
- 43%
- Goals for / match
- 1.21
- Goals against / match
- 0.86
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 14
- They have won 8 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 28 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Kaisar away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-5-7
- Win rate
- 14%
- Goals for / match
- 0.71
- Goals against / match
- 1.43
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 14
- They have won 4 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 28 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Zhenys at home only, Kaisar away only.
Zhenys vs Kaisar head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Zhenys 0 · draws 3 · Kaisar 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-08 | Kaisar | 1-1 | Zhenys | Kazakhstan Premier League |
| 2025-10-26 | Zhenys | 2-2 | Kaisar | Kazakhstan Premier League |
| 2025-03-02 | Kaisar | 0-0 | Zhenys | Kazakhstan Premier League |
Other Matchday 30 fixtures
- Kairat Almaty vs Altay — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- FK Tobol Kostanay vs Aktobe 2026-10-31
- Kaspiy v Kyzyl-Zhar — match page 2026-10-31
- Zhetysu vs FC Astana — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Irtysh vs Ordabasy 2026-10-31
- Ulytau vs Atyrau — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Yelimay Semey vs Okzhetpes 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Zhenys, previous: Ordabasy – Zhenys, 2026-10-24
- Kaisar, previous: FC Astana vs Kaisar prediction