Zhetysu vs FC Astana preview
In the match between Zhetysu and FC Astana, the 1X2 probabilities show FC Astana at 54%, compared to Zhetysu's 18%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a 13% chance. Zhetysu has struggled recently, with a form of D-W-L-L-L-W, while FC Astana has a better recent record of D-W-L-W-L-W.
The model suggests there is a 44% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance for both teams to score. Zhetysu's expected goals stand at 0.84, while FC Astana's are at 1.61. If Zhetysu can improve their attacking play or if FC Astana underperforms, these predictions could change.
Zhetysu vs FC Astana: model vs market
| Source | Zhetysu | Draw | FC Astana |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 19% | 29% | 52% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 19% | 29% | 52% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.46 vs 0.78.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Zhetysu and FC Astana expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.24
- Attack rating (Zhetysu / FC Astana)
- 0.66 / 1.11
- Defence rating (Zhetysu / FC Astana)
- 1.15 / 0.80
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Zhetysu vs FC Astana score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Zhetysu goals. Columns: FC Astana goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Zhetysu vs FC Astana goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 43%
- No goals (0–0)
- 12%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Zhetysu vs FC Astana
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zhetysu | 19% | 5.32 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.44 | |
| FC Astana | 52% | 1.92 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39% | 2.57 |
| Under 2.5 | 61% | 1.64 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43% | 2.33 |
| No | 57% | 1.75 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Zhetysu or draw) | 48% | 2.09 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| X2 (draw or FC Astana) | 81% | 1.23 | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Astana win by 2+ | 27% | 3.69 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Zhetysu and FC Astana recent form
Zhetysu
2W 1D 3L
FC Astana
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Zhetysu at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-4-6
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 0.86
- Goals against / match
- 1.14
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 14
- They have won 6 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 28 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Astana away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-5-6
- Win rate
- 21%
- Goals for / match
- 0.93
- Goals against / match
- 1.36
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 14
- They have won 15 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Zhetysu at home only, FC Astana away only.
Zhetysu vs FC Astana head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Zhetysu 0 · draws 0 · FC Astana 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-08 | FC Astana | 4-1 | Zhetysu | Kazakhstan Premier League |
| 2025-07-06 | Zhetysu | 0-2 | FC Astana | Kazakhstan Premier League |
| 2025-03-30 | FC Astana | 3-0 | Zhetysu | Kazakhstan Premier League |
Other Matchday 30 fixtures
- Kairat Almaty vs Altay — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- FK Tobol Kostanay vs Aktobe 2026-10-31
- Kaspiy v Kyzyl-Zhar — match page 2026-10-31
- Irtysh vs Ordabasy 2026-10-31
- Zhenys v Kaisar — match page 2026-10-31
- Ulytau vs Atyrau — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Yelimay Semey vs Okzhetpes 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Zhetysu, previous: Zhetysu vs FK Tobol Kostanay: odds and pick
- FC Astana, previous: FC Astana vs Kaisar prediction