AS Jeunesse Esch vs FC Differdange 03 preview
In the match between AS Jeunesse Esch and FC Differdange 03, the 1X2 probabilities show FC Differdange 03 at 73%, making them the clear favorites. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with an 8% chance. FC Differdange 03 is in strong recent form, winning their last 6 matches, while AS Jeunesse Esch has a mixed record with 3 wins and 2 losses in their last 5 games.
The model suggests a high chance of Over 2.5 goals at 77% and both teams to score at 65%. However, if AS Jeunesse Esch can improve their defensive performance, they might limit Differdange’s scoring opportunities, which could impact the expected goals of 1.15 for them and 2.90 for Differdange.
AS Jeunesse Esch vs FC Differdange 03: model vs market
| Source | AS Jeunesse Esch | Draw | FC Differdange 03 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 12% | 16% | 73% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 12% | 16% | 73% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.90 vs 1.15.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
AS Jeunesse Esch and FC Differdange 03 expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.05
- Attack rating (AS Jeunesse Esch / FC Differdange 03)
- 1.04 / 1.70
- Defence rating (AS Jeunesse Esch / FC Differdange 03)
- 1.20 / 0.69
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
AS Jeunesse Esch vs FC Differdange 03 score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: AS Jeunesse Esch goals. Columns: FC Differdange 03 goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
AS Jeunesse Esch vs FC Differdange 03 goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 65%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for AS Jeunesse Esch vs FC Differdange 03
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AS Jeunesse Esch | 12% | 8.58 |
| Draw | 16% | 6.32 | |
| FC Differdange 03 | 73% | 1.38 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77% | 1.30 |
| Under 2.5 | 23% | 4.34 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65% | 1.53 |
| No | 35% | 2.88 | |
| Double chance | 1X (AS Jeunesse Esch or draw) | 27% | 3.64 |
| 12 (either side) | 84% | 1.19 | |
| X2 (draw or FC Differdange 03) | 88% | 1.13 | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Differdange 03 win by 2+ | 53% | 1.87 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
AS Jeunesse Esch and FC Differdange 03 recent form
AS Jeunesse Esch
3W 1D 2L
FC Differdange 03
6W 0D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
AS Jeunesse Esch at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
FC Differdange 03 away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-1
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 2.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 9 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 3.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
League matches this season before kick-off: AS Jeunesse Esch at home only, FC Differdange 03 away only.
AS Jeunesse Esch vs FC Differdange 03 head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: AS Jeunesse Esch 0 · draws 1 · FC Differdange 03 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | FC Differdange 03 | 1-1 | AS Jeunesse Esch | National Division |
| 2025-10-01 | AS Jeunesse Esch | 0-1 | FC Differdange 03 | National Division |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- F91 Dudelange vs Victoria Rosport — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Progres Niederkorn vs Swift Hesperange 2026-10-31
- US Rumelange v Racing FC Union Luxembourg — match page 2026-10-31
- UNA Strassen vs UN Kaerjeng 97 2026-10-31
- US Mondorf-les-bains v US Hostert — match page 2026-10-31
- Atert Bissen vs Etzella Ettelbruck — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Résidence Walferdange vs Wiltz 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- AS Jeunesse Esch, previous: Swift Hesperange vs AS Jeunesse Esch: odds and pick
- FC Differdange 03, previous: FC Differdange 03 vs F91 Dudelange prediction