F91 Dudelange vs Victoria Rosport preview
F91 Dudelange has a 63% chance to win against Victoria Rosport, with a predicted scoreline of 2-1 at 8%. The model suggests a high likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 81% and both teams to score at 75%. F91 Dudelange's expected goals stand at 2.82, while Victoria Rosport's is 1.57.
However, recent form shows F91 Dudelange with mixed results, including 2 wins and 3 losses in their last 6 matches. Victoria Rosport has struggled, recording only 1 win in their last 6 games. Additionally, in their last 2 head-to-head encounters, F91 Dudelange has not secured a win, with 1 draw and 1 loss. This could impact the match outcome.
F91 Dudelange vs Victoria Rosport: model vs market
| Source | F91 Dudelange | Draw | Victoria Rosport |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 63% | 18% | 19% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 63% | 18% | 19% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.83 vs 1.57.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
F91 Dudelange and Victoria Rosport expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.39
- Attack rating (F91 Dudelange / Victoria Rosport)
- 1.21 / 1.09
- Defence rating (F91 Dudelange / Victoria Rosport)
- 1.02 / 1.46
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
F91 Dudelange vs Victoria Rosport score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: F91 Dudelange goals. Columns: Victoria Rosport goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
F91 Dudelange vs Victoria Rosport goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 75%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for F91 Dudelange vs Victoria Rosport
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | F91 Dudelange | 63% | 1.58 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.61 | |
| Victoria Rosport | 19% | 5.30 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 81% | 1.23 |
| Under 2.5 | 19% | 5.38 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75% | 1.33 |
| No | 25% | 4.00 | |
| Double chance | 1X (F91 Dudelange or draw) | 81% | 1.23 |
| 12 (either side) | 82% | 1.22 | |
| X2 (draw or Victoria Rosport) | 37% | 2.72 | |
| Handicap -1 | F91 Dudelange win by 2+ | 44% | 2.26 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 | 50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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F91 Dudelange and Victoria Rosport recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
F91 Dudelange at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-3
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 2.20
- Goals against / match
- 2.20
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
Victoria Rosport away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-3
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 2.80
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: F91 Dudelange at home only, Victoria Rosport away only.
F91 Dudelange vs Victoria Rosport head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: F91 Dudelange 0 · draws 1 · Victoria Rosport 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | F91 Dudelange | 1-2 | Victoria Rosport | National Division |
| 2025-12-03 | Victoria Rosport | 0-0 | F91 Dudelange | National Division |
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Before and after this match
- F91 Dudelange, previous: FC Differdange 03 vs F91 Dudelange prediction
- Victoria Rosport, previous: Victoria Rosport vs Résidence Walferdange: odds and pick