UNA Strassen vs UN Kaerjeng 97 preview
UNA Strassen faces UN Kaerjeng 97 with a 52% chance to win, compared to 23% for UN Kaerjeng 97. The model predicts a likely scoreline of 2-1, which occurs 10% of the time. UNA Strassen has shown strong recent form, going D-W-W-W-W-W, while UN Kaerjeng 97 has a mixed record with W-W-W-W-L-W.
The model also indicates a 55% probability for Over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score. However, if UN Kaerjeng 97 manages to outperform their expected goals of 1.11, they could challenge UNA Strassen's 1.77. The confidence grade is C, suggesting some uncertainty in the outcome.
UNA Strassen vs UN Kaerjeng 97: model vs market
| Source | UNA Strassen | Draw | UN Kaerjeng 97 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52% | 26% | 23% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 52% | 26% | 23% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.77 vs 1.11.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
UNA Strassen and UN Kaerjeng 97 expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.88
- Attack rating (UNA Strassen / UN Kaerjeng 97)
- 1.08 / 1.58
- Defence rating (UNA Strassen / UN Kaerjeng 97)
- 0.50 / 1.02
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
UNA Strassen vs UN Kaerjeng 97 score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: UNA Strassen goals. Columns: UN Kaerjeng 97 goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
UNA Strassen vs UN Kaerjeng 97 goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 57%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for UNA Strassen vs UN Kaerjeng 97
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | UNA Strassen | 52% | 1.94 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.91 | |
| UN Kaerjeng 97 | 23% | 4.39 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55% | 1.82 |
| Under 2.5 | 45% | 2.22 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57% | 1.76 |
| No | 43% | 2.32 | |
| Double chance | 1X (UNA Strassen or draw) | 77% | 1.29 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or UN Kaerjeng 97) | 48% | 2.07 | |
| Handicap -1 | UNA Strassen win by 2+ | 29% | 3.41 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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UNA Strassen and UN Kaerjeng 97 recent form
UNA Strassen
5W 1D 0L
UN Kaerjeng 97
5W 0D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
UNA Strassen at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-1-0
- Win rate
- 80%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.40
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 5
- They have won 9 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 9 matches.
UN Kaerjeng 97 away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-2
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 1.80
- Goals against / match
- 2.40
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 7 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.9 goals per match.
- They average 4.0 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: UNA Strassen at home only, UN Kaerjeng 97 away only.
UNA Strassen vs UN Kaerjeng 97 head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: UNA Strassen 1 · draws 0 · UN Kaerjeng 97 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | UN Kaerjeng 97 | 1-0 | UNA Strassen | National Division |
| 2025-10-01 | UNA Strassen | 4-0 | UN Kaerjeng 97 | National Division |
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Before and after this match
- UNA Strassen, previous: US Hostert vs UNA Strassen prediction
- UN Kaerjeng 97, previous: UN Kaerjeng 97 v Atert Bissen analysis