US Rumelange vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg preview
In the upcoming match between US Rumelange and Racing FC Union Luxembourg, the 1X2 probabilities show a significant advantage for Racing FC Union Luxembourg at 76%, compared to US Rumelange's 10%. The most likely scoreline is 1-3, which aligns with the expected goals of 1.25 for US Rumelange and 3.26 for Racing FC Union Luxembourg.
The high likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 83% and both teams to score at 69% suggests an active game. However, the recent form of US Rumelange, with six consecutive matches without a win, could impact their performance. Racing FC Union Luxembourg's mixed results, with two wins in their last five, may also affect the outcome.
US Rumelange vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg: model vs market
| Source | US Rumelange | Draw | Racing FC Union Luxembourg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 10% | 14% | 76% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 10% | 14% | 76% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.26 vs 1.25.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
US Rumelange and Racing FC Union Luxembourg expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.50
- Attack rating (US Rumelange / Racing FC Union Luxembourg)
- 0.87 / 1.41
- Defence rating (US Rumelange / Racing FC Union Luxembourg)
- 1.63 / 0.89
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
US Rumelange vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: US Rumelange goals. Columns: Racing FC Union Luxembourg goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
US Rumelange vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 69%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for US Rumelange vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | US Rumelange | 10% | 9.55 |
| Draw | 14% | 7.27 | |
| Racing FC Union Luxembourg | 76% | 1.32 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 83% | 1.21 |
| Under 2.5 | 17% | 5.77 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69% | 1.45 |
| No | 31% | 3.22 | |
| Double chance | 1X (US Rumelange or draw) | 24% | 4.13 |
| 12 (either side) | 86% | 1.16 | |
| X2 (draw or Racing FC Union Luxembourg) | 90% | 1.12 | |
| Handicap -1 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg win by 2+ | 58% | 1.72 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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US Rumelange and Racing FC Union Luxembourg recent form
US Rumelange
0W 1D 5L
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
2W 4D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
US Rumelange at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-3
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 3.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
Racing FC Union Luxembourg away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-1
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They average 3.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: US Rumelange at home only, Racing FC Union Luxembourg away only.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
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- AS Jeunesse Esch vs FC Differdange 03 — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Progres Niederkorn vs Swift Hesperange 2026-10-31
- UNA Strassen vs UN Kaerjeng 97 2026-10-31
- US Mondorf-les-bains v US Hostert — match page 2026-10-31
- Atert Bissen vs Etzella Ettelbruck — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Résidence Walferdange vs Wiltz 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- US Rumelange, previous: Wiltz v US Rumelange analysis
- Racing FC Union Luxembourg, previous: Racing FC Union Luxembourg – US Mondorf-les-bains, 2026-10-25