Résidence Walferdange vs Wiltz preview
In the fixture between Résidence Walferdange and Wiltz, the 1X2 probabilities show a strong lean towards Résidence Walferdange at 65%, with a likely scoreline of 2-1 (7%). The model indicates a high chance of Over 2.5 goals at 83% and both teams to score at 75%.
However, the recent form of Wiltz, who have lost their last 6 matches, could impact their performance. If they manage to improve their form, it could lead to a different outcome than predicted. Meanwhile, Résidence Walferdange's inconsistent results, with 2 wins in their last 5, may also affect the match dynamics.
Résidence Walferdange vs Wiltz: model vs market
| Source | Résidence Walferdange | Draw | Wiltz |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 65% | 17% | 18% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 65% | 17% | 18% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.96 vs 1.57.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Résidence Walferdange and Wiltz expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.52
- Attack rating (Résidence Walferdange / Wiltz)
- 1.16 / 0.88
- Defence rating (Résidence Walferdange / Wiltz)
- 1.26 / 1.59
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Résidence Walferdange vs Wiltz score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Résidence Walferdange goals. Columns: Wiltz goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Résidence Walferdange vs Wiltz goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 75%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Résidence Walferdange vs Wiltz
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Résidence Walferdange | 65% | 1.53 |
| Draw | 17% | 5.88 | |
| Wiltz | 18% | 5.69 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 83% | 1.21 |
| Under 2.5 | 17% | 5.84 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75% | 1.32 |
| No | 25% | 4.08 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Résidence Walferdange or draw) | 82% | 1.21 |
| 12 (either side) | 83% | 1.20 | |
| X2 (draw or Wiltz) | 35% | 2.89 | |
| Handicap -1 | Résidence Walferdange win by 2+ | 47% | 2.14 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Résidence Walferdange and Wiltz recent form
Résidence Walferdange
3W 1D 2L
Wiltz
0W 0D 6L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Résidence Walferdange at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-3
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game on the road against 1.5 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
Wiltz away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-4
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 2.20
- Goals against / match
- 3.80
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
League matches this season before kick-off: Résidence Walferdange at home only, Wiltz away only.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- F91 Dudelange vs Victoria Rosport — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- AS Jeunesse Esch vs FC Differdange 03 — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Progres Niederkorn vs Swift Hesperange 2026-10-31
- US Rumelange v Racing FC Union Luxembourg — match page 2026-10-31
- UNA Strassen vs UN Kaerjeng 97 2026-10-31
- US Mondorf-les-bains v US Hostert — match page 2026-10-31
- Atert Bissen vs Etzella Ettelbruck — team news & stats 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Résidence Walferdange, previous: Victoria Rosport vs Résidence Walferdange: odds and pick
- Wiltz, previous: Wiltz v US Rumelange analysis