US Mondorf-les-bains vs US Hostert preview
In the fixture between US Mondorf-les-bains and US Hostert, the 1X2 probabilities indicate a strong preference for US Mondorf-les-bains at 62%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which aligns with their expected goals of 2.24 compared to US Hostert's 1.13. With a 65% chance for Over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, the match could see multiple goals.
However, US Hostert has shown some resilience, with a recent form of L-L-D-D-W-L. Their ability to upset the odds could impact the predicted outcomes. The confidence grade of C suggests that while the data points to a Mondorf-les-bains win, uncertainties remain that could lead to a different result.
US Mondorf-les-bains vs US Hostert: model vs market
| Source | US Mondorf-les-bains | Draw | US Hostert |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 62% | 21% | 17% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 62% | 21% | 17% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.24 vs 1.13.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
US Mondorf-les-bains and US Hostert expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.37
- Attack rating (US Mondorf-les-bains / US Hostert)
- 1.21 / 0.93
- Defence rating (US Mondorf-les-bains / US Hostert)
- 0.85 / 1.16
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
US Mondorf-les-bains vs US Hostert score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: US Mondorf-les-bains goals. Columns: US Hostert goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
US Mondorf-les-bains vs US Hostert goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 61%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for US Mondorf-les-bains vs US Hostert
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | US Mondorf-les-bains | 62% | 1.62 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.72 | |
| US Hostert | 17% | 5.84 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65% | 1.53 |
| Under 2.5 | 35% | 2.89 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61% | 1.63 |
| No | 39% | 2.58 | |
| Double chance | 1X (US Mondorf-les-bains or draw) | 83% | 1.21 |
| 12 (either side) | 79% | 1.27 | |
| X2 (draw or US Hostert) | 38% | 2.61 | |
| Handicap -1 | US Mondorf-les-bains win by 2+ | 40% | 2.50 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
US Mondorf-les-bains and US Hostert recent form
US Mondorf-les-bains
4W 0D 2L
US Hostert
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
US Mondorf-les-bains at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-1
- Win rate
- 80%
- Goals for / match
- 2.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 8 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
US Hostert away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-3
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.80
- Goals against / match
- 2.40
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: US Mondorf-les-bains at home only, US Hostert away only.
US Mondorf-les-bains vs US Hostert head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: US Mondorf-les-bains 1 · draws 0 · US Hostert 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | US Mondorf-les-bains | 4-0 | US Hostert | National Division |
| 2025-11-02 | US Hostert | 2-1 | US Mondorf-les-bains | National Division |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
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- US Rumelange v Racing FC Union Luxembourg — match page 2026-10-31
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- Atert Bissen vs Etzella Ettelbruck — team news & stats 2026-10-31
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Before and after this match
- US Mondorf-les-bains, previous: Racing FC Union Luxembourg – US Mondorf-les-bains, 2026-10-25
- US Hostert, previous: US Hostert vs UNA Strassen prediction