Etzella Ettelbruck vs F91 Dudelange: model vs market
| Source | Etzella Ettelbruck | Draw | F91 Dudelange |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37% | 28% | 35% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 37% | 28% | 35% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Etzella Ettelbruck and F91 Dudelange expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.79
- Attack rating (Etzella Ettelbruck / F91 Dudelange)
- 0.78 / 0.92
- Defence rating (Etzella Ettelbruck / F91 Dudelange)
- 1.06 / 1.17
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Etzella Ettelbruck vs F91 Dudelange score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Etzella Ettelbruck goals. Columns: F91 Dudelange goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Etzella Ettelbruck vs F91 Dudelange goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 58%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Etzella Ettelbruck vs F91 Dudelange
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Etzella Ettelbruck | 37% | 2.67 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.61 | |
| F91 Dudelange | 35% | 2.87 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53% | 1.90 |
| Under 2.5 | 47% | 2.12 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58% | 1.73 |
| No | 42% | 2.36 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Etzella Ettelbruck or draw) | 65% | 1.53 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.38 | |
| X2 (draw or F91 Dudelange) | 63% | 1.60 | |
| Handicap -1 | Etzella Ettelbruck win by 2+ | 18% | 5.51 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
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| 3 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Etzella Ettelbruck and F91 Dudelange recent form
Etzella Ettelbruck
2W 1D 3L
F91 Dudelange
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Etzella Ettelbruck at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-3
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 0.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.0 at home.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
F91 Dudelange away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Etzella Ettelbruck at home only, F91 Dudelange away only.
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