Racing FC Union Luxembourg vs Atert Bissen: model vs market
| Source | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | Draw | Atert Bissen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53% | 20% | 27% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 53% | 20% | 27% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.49 vs 1.77.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Racing FC Union Luxembourg and Atert Bissen expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.26
- Attack rating (Racing FC Union Luxembourg / Atert Bissen)
- 1.52 / 1.42
- Defence rating (Racing FC Union Luxembourg / Atert Bissen)
- 0.88 / 1.06
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Racing FC Union Luxembourg vs Atert Bissen score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Racing FC Union Luxembourg goals. Columns: Atert Bissen goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Racing FC Union Luxembourg vs Atert Bissen goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 77%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Racing FC Union Luxembourg vs Atert Bissen
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | 53% | 1.88 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.95 | |
| Atert Bissen | 27% | 3.77 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 80% | 1.25 |
| Under 2.5 | 20% | 4.94 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 77% | 1.30 |
| No | 23% | 4.29 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Racing FC Union Luxembourg or draw) | 73% | 1.36 |
| 12 (either side) | 80% | 1.25 | |
| X2 (draw or Atert Bissen) | 47% | 2.14 | |
| Handicap -1 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg win by 2+ | 34% | 2.92 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Racing FC Union Luxembourg and Atert Bissen recent form
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
3W 2D 1L
Atert Bissen
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Racing FC Union Luxembourg at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-0
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 4.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 3.0 goals per match.
- They average 4.2 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Atert Bissen away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-1
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 2.75
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Racing FC Union Luxembourg at home only, Atert Bissen away only.
Racing FC Union Luxembourg vs Atert Bissen head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Racing FC Union Luxembourg 0 · draws 0 · Atert Bissen 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | 0-5 | Atert Bissen | National Division |
| 2025-11-22 | Atert Bissen | 3-0 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | National Division |
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