UN Kaerjeng 97 vs AS Jeunesse Esch: model vs market
| Source | UN Kaerjeng 97 | Draw | AS Jeunesse Esch |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60% | 18% | 22% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 60% | 18% | 22% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.83 vs 1.74.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
UN Kaerjeng 97 and AS Jeunesse Esch expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.57
- Attack rating (UN Kaerjeng 97 / AS Jeunesse Esch)
- 1.52 / 1.12
- Defence rating (UN Kaerjeng 97 / AS Jeunesse Esch)
- 1.10 / 1.20
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
UN Kaerjeng 97 vs AS Jeunesse Esch score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: UN Kaerjeng 97 goals. Columns: AS Jeunesse Esch goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
UN Kaerjeng 97 vs AS Jeunesse Esch goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 78%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for UN Kaerjeng 97 vs AS Jeunesse Esch
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | UN Kaerjeng 97 | 60% | 1.67 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.50 | |
| AS Jeunesse Esch | 22% | 4.57 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 83% | 1.20 |
| Under 2.5 | 17% | 6.04 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 78% | 1.28 |
| No | 22% | 4.57 | |
| Double chance | 1X (UN Kaerjeng 97 or draw) | 78% | 1.28 |
| 12 (either side) | 82% | 1.22 | |
| X2 (draw or AS Jeunesse Esch) | 40% | 2.50 | |
| Handicap -1 | UN Kaerjeng 97 win by 2+ | 41% | 2.43 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
UN Kaerjeng 97 and AS Jeunesse Esch recent form
UN Kaerjeng 97
4W 0D 2L
AS Jeunesse Esch
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
UN Kaerjeng 97 at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-1
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 4.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.7 goals per match.
- They average 4.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
AS Jeunesse Esch away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-3
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 2.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
League matches this season before kick-off: UN Kaerjeng 97 at home only, AS Jeunesse Esch away only.
UN Kaerjeng 97 vs AS Jeunesse Esch head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: UN Kaerjeng 97 0 · draws 1 · AS Jeunesse Esch 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | UN Kaerjeng 97 | 0-2 | AS Jeunesse Esch | National Division |
| 2025-08-03 | AS Jeunesse Esch | 1-1 | UN Kaerjeng 97 | National Division |
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