US Rumelange vs US Mondorf-les-bains: model vs market
| Source | US Rumelange | Draw | US Mondorf-les-bains |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 12% | 18% | 70% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 12% | 18% | 70% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.52 vs 1.00.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
US Rumelange and US Mondorf-les-bains expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.52
- Attack rating (US Rumelange / US Mondorf-les-bains)
- 0.75 / 1.07
- Defence rating (US Rumelange / US Mondorf-les-bains)
- 1.67 / 0.86
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
US Rumelange vs US Mondorf-les-bains score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: US Rumelange goals. Columns: US Mondorf-les-bains goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
US Rumelange vs US Mondorf-les-bains goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 59%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for US Rumelange vs US Mondorf-les-bains
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | US Rumelange | 12% | 8.16 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.50 | |
| US Mondorf-les-bains | 70% | 1.44 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68% | 1.47 |
| Under 2.5 | 32% | 3.15 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59% | 1.70 |
| No | 41% | 2.43 | |
| Double chance | 1X (US Rumelange or draw) | 30% | 3.29 |
| 12 (either side) | 82% | 1.22 | |
| X2 (draw or US Mondorf-les-bains) | 88% | 1.14 | |
| Handicap -1 | US Mondorf-les-bains win by 2+ | 49% | 2.06 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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| 4 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
US Rumelange and US Mondorf-les-bains recent form
US Rumelange
1W 0D 5L
US Mondorf-les-bains
4W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
US Rumelange at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 3.25
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
US Mondorf-les-bains away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-1
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 2.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game on the road against 1.8 at home.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: US Rumelange at home only, US Mondorf-les-bains away only.
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