FC Differdange 03 vs Résidence Walferdange: model vs market
| Source | FC Differdange 03 | Draw | Résidence Walferdange |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49% | 27% | 24% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 49% | 27% | 24% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.64 vs 1.07.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
FC Differdange 03 and Résidence Walferdange expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.71
- Attack rating (FC Differdange 03 / Résidence Walferdange)
- 1.21 / 1.21
- Defence rating (FC Differdange 03 / Résidence Walferdange)
- 0.63 / 0.87
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
FC Differdange 03 vs Résidence Walferdange score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: FC Differdange 03 goals. Columns: Résidence Walferdange goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
FC Differdange 03 vs Résidence Walferdange goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 54%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for FC Differdange 03 vs Résidence Walferdange
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Differdange 03 | 49% | 2.02 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.71 | |
| Résidence Walferdange | 24% | 4.23 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51% | 1.97 |
| Under 2.5 | 49% | 2.03 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54% | 1.85 |
| No | 46% | 2.18 | |
| Double chance | 1X (FC Differdange 03 or draw) | 76% | 1.31 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.37 | |
| X2 (draw or Résidence Walferdange) | 51% | 1.98 | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Differdange 03 win by 2+ | 27% | 3.72 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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| 4 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
FC Differdange 03 and Résidence Walferdange recent form
FC Differdange 03
5W 0D 1L
Résidence Walferdange
4W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
FC Differdange 03 at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 3.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.25
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 4
- They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Résidence Walferdange away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 3.33
- Goals against / match
- 0.33
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 3
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 3.3 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
League matches this season before kick-off: FC Differdange 03 at home only, Résidence Walferdange away only.
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