Eredivisie · Matchday 8

GO Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam

· De Adelaarshorst, Deventer

Alin prediction GO Ahead Eagles to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 2 – 1

8% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
GO Ahead EaglesDrawSparta Rotterdam
Best market odds
GO Ahead Eagles1.81 Draw4.10 Sparta Rotterdam4.28
Bet on GO Ahead Eagles

18+ · T&Cs apply · best price across 8 bookmakers, each at its own last update; the highlighted price is our pick.

GO Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceGO Ahead EaglesDrawSparta Rotterdam
Model71%16%13%
Market54%23%23%
Published58%22%20%
Edge+17%-7%-10%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.94 vs 1.29.
  • The market prices GO Ahead Eagles below the model: +16.9 percentage points of edge.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.81, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.

GO Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam odds movement

Median bookmaker price on GO Ahead Eagles, 38 snapshots since 2026-09-18.

Opened 1.89Now 1.75 -0.14
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
GO Ahead Eagles1.891.75-0.14
Draw3.844.00+0.16
Sparta Rotterdam3.554.12+0.57

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

GO Ahead Eagles and Sparta Rotterdam expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.94GO Ahead Eagles
1.29Sparta Rotterdam
Total expected goals
4.22
Attack rating (GO Ahead Eagles / Sparta Rotterdam)
1.14 / 0.80
Defence rating (GO Ahead Eagles / Sparta Rotterdam)
1.07 / 1.44

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

GO Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 2.0% 1.3% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 1 3.7% 6.1% 3.6% 1.5% 0.6% 2 6.3% 8.1% 5.2% 2.2% 1.0% 3 6.2% 8.0% 5.1% 2.2% 0.9% 4+ 9.4% 12.1% 7.7% 3.3% 1.4%

Rows: GO Ahead Eagles goals. Columns: Sparta Rotterdam goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

GO Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 98%
Over 1.5 93%
Over 2.5 79%
Over 3.5 61%
Both teams to score
69%
No goals (0–0)
2%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for GO Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2GO Ahead Eagles58%1.73
Draw22%4.62
Sparta Rotterdam20%4.89
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.579%1.26
Under 2.521%4.83
Both teams to scoreYes69%1.45
No31%3.23
Double chance1X (GO Ahead Eagles or draw)80%1.26
12 (either side)78%1.28
X2 (draw or Sparta Rotterdam)42%2.38
Handicap -1GO Ahead Eagles win by 2+52%1.94
Push (exactly one goal)19%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Compare the market for this pick

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

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GO Ahead Eagles and Sparta Rotterdam recent form

GO Ahead Eagles 1W 4D 1L
Sparta Rotterdam 1W 2D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

GO Ahead Eagles at home

Record (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Win rate
67%
Goals for / match
2.67
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
0 of 3
  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.

Sparta Rotterdam away

Record (W-D-L)
1-0-2
Win rate
33%
Goals for / match
1.67
Goals against / match
2.33
Clean sheets
0 of 3
  • They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.

League matches this season before kick-off: GO Ahead Eagles at home only, Sparta Rotterdam away only.

GO Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: GO Ahead Eagles 0 · draws 1 · Sparta Rotterdam 1.

GO Ahead EaglesDrawsSparta Rotterdam
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-05-03Sparta Rotterdam2-2GO Ahead EaglesEredivisie
2025-08-23GO Ahead Eagles0-3Sparta RotterdamEredivisie

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Prediction snapshot GO Ahead Eagles to win Predicted score 2 – 1 C Bet on GO Ahead Eagles
Our pick: GO Ahead Eagles to win 18+ Bet Now