Telstar vs ADO Den Haag Prediction & Betting Tips 11/10/2026

Telstar vs ADO Den Haag: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Telstar	Draw	ADO Den Haag
Model	36%	28%	36%
Market	47%	25%	28%
Published	44%	26%	30%
Edge	-11%	+3%	+8%

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.06, recorded 2026-10-06 — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.

Telstar vs ADO Den Haag odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Telstar, 38 snapshots since 2026-09-18.

Opened 2.09Now 2.00 -0.09

Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
Selection	First	Latest	Move
Telstar	2.09	2.00	-0.09
Draw	3.75	3.75	+0.00
ADO Den Haag	3.07	3.34	+0.27

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Telstar and ADO Den Haag expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.39Telstar

1.39ADO Den Haag

Total expected goals: 2.77
Attack rating (Telstar / ADO Den Haag): 0.72 / 0.98
Defence rating (Telstar / ADO Den Haag): 0.95 / 1.07

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Telstar vs ADO Den Haag score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 7.5% 7.5% 6.0% 2.8% 1.3% 1 7.5% 13.2% 8.3% 3.8% 1.8% 2 6.0% 8.3% 5.8% 2.7% 1.3% 3 2.8% 3.8% 2.7% 1.2% 0.6% 4+ 1.3% 1.8% 1.3% 0.6% 0.3%

Rows: Telstar goals. Columns: ADO Den Haag goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Telstar vs ADO Den Haag goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 93%

Over 1.5 78%

Over 2.5 52%

Over 3.5 30%

Both teams to score: 57%
No goals (0–0): 7%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Telstar vs ADO Den Haag

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Telstar	44%	2.26
	Draw	26%	3.89
	ADO Den Haag	30%	3.32
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	52%	1.91
	Under 2.5	48%	2.10
Both teams to score	Yes	57%	1.74
	No	43%	2.35
Double chance	1X (Telstar or draw)	70%	1.43
	12 (either side)	74%	1.35
	X2 (draw or ADO Den Haag)	56%	1.79
Handicap -1	Telstar win by 2+	17%	5.83
	Push (exactly one goal)	19%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Compare the market for this pick

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

All betting sites

#	Welcome offer	Why it is here	Visit
1	50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply.	M-PESA Paybill 290059 Daily Jackpot Live betting	Get offer
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Telstar and ADO Den Haag recent form

Telstar 0W 2D 4L

ADO Den Haag 0W 2D 4L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Telstar at home

Record (W-D-L): 0-1-2
Win rate: 0%
Goals for / match: 1.00
Goals against / match: 3.00
Clean sheets: 0 of 3

They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.

ADO Den Haag away

Record (W-D-L): 0-1-3
Win rate: 0%
Goals for / match: 0.75
Goals against / match: 2.25
Clean sheets: 0 of 4

They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.

League matches this season before kick-off: Telstar at home only, ADO Den Haag away only.

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Prediction snapshot Telstar to win Predicted score 2 – 1 C Bet on Telstar