Kloetinge vs Cambuur Prediction & Betting Tips 27/10/2026

Kloetinge vs Cambuur preview

In the KNVB Beker fixture, Kloetinge faces Cambuur with a 71% probability of winning compared to Cambuur's 14%. The most likely scoreline is 3-1, which aligns with the expected goals of 3.18 for Kloetinge and 1.44 for Cambuur. There's a strong chance of Over 2.5 goals at 84%, and both teams to score is also likely at 74%.

However, the recent form shows Kloetinge with two wins and one loss, while Cambuur has a mixed record of two wins, two draws, and two losses. This inconsistency in Cambuur's performance could impact the match outcome, making it important to consider how they respond in this knockout scenario.

Kloetinge vs Cambuur: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Kloetinge	Draw	Cambuur
Model	71%	15%	14%
Market	—	—	—
Published	71%	15%	14%
Edge	—	—	—

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.18 vs 1.44.
Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 4 vs 2 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Kloetinge and Cambuur expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

3.18Kloetinge

1.44Cambuur

Total expected goals: 4.62
Attack rating (Kloetinge / Cambuur): 1.61 / 0.81
Defence rating (Kloetinge / Cambuur): 0.88 / 1.01

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Kloetinge vs Cambuur score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 1.4% 1.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 1 2.7% 5.0% 3.2% 1.6% 0.8% 2 5.0% 7.2% 5.2% 2.5% 1.2% 3 5.3% 7.6% 5.5% 2.6% 1.3% 4+ 9.3% 13.4% 9.7% 4.6% 2.3%

Rows: Kloetinge goals. Columns: Cambuur goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Kloetinge vs Cambuur goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 99%

Over 1.5 95%

Over 2.5 84%

Over 3.5 68%

Both teams to score: 74%
No goals (0–0): 1%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Kloetinge vs Cambuur

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Kloetinge	71%	1.40
	Draw	15%	6.62
	Cambuur	14%	7.33
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	84%	1.19
	Under 2.5	16%	6.23
Both teams to score	Yes	74%	1.36
	No	26%	3.79
Double chance	1X (Kloetinge or draw)	86%	1.16
	12 (either side)	85%	1.18
	X2 (draw or Cambuur)	29%	3.48
Handicap -1	Kloetinge win by 2+	53%	1.88
	Push (exactly one goal)	18%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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