Rijnsburgse Boys vs Den Bosch preview
In the KNVB Beker fixture, Rijnsburgse Boys have a 43% chance to win against Den Bosch, who sit at 32%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% probability. Both teams show potential for scoring, as our model indicates a 66% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 67% likelihood for both teams to score.
Rijnsburgse Boys have an expected goals figure of 1.82, while Den Bosch is at 1.56. However, Rijnsburgse Boys recently lost their last match, which could impact their performance. Den Bosch's recent form includes a win and a draw, but also two losses, indicating inconsistency. This could affect the outcome of the match.
Rijnsburgse Boys vs Den Bosch: model vs market
| Source | Rijnsburgse Boys | Draw | Den Bosch |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43% | 24% | 32% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 43% | 24% | 32% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Rijnsburgse Boys and Den Bosch expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.38
- Attack rating (Rijnsburgse Boys / Den Bosch)
- 1.00 / 0.71
- Defence rating (Rijnsburgse Boys / Den Bosch)
- 1.08 / 0.93
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Rijnsburgse Boys vs Den Bosch score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Rijnsburgse Boys goals. Columns: Den Bosch goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Rijnsburgse Boys vs Den Bosch goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 67%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Rijnsburgse Boys vs Den Bosch
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rijnsburgse Boys | 43% | 2.31 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.09 | |
| Den Bosch | 32% | 3.10 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66% | 1.52 |
| Under 2.5 | 34% | 2.91 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67% | 1.49 |
| No | 33% | 3.05 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Rijnsburgse Boys or draw) | 68% | 1.48 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or Den Bosch) | 57% | 1.76 | |
| Handicap -1 | Rijnsburgse Boys win by 2+ | 24% | 4.18 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Rijnsburgse Boys and Den Bosch recent form
Rijnsburgse Boys
0W 0D 1L
Den Bosch
2W 1D 3L
Last 1 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
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Before and after this match
- Den Bosch, previous: Den Bosch v FC OSS analysis