FC Eindhoven vs FC Volendam preview
In the KNVB Beker fixture, FC Eindhoven has a 21% chance of winning, while FC Volendam stands at 56%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 10% probability. The model suggests a strong chance for Over 2.5 goals at 66% and both teams to score at 65%.
FC Eindhoven's expected goals are 1.28, compared to FC Volendam's 2.14, indicating a potential advantage for the visitors. However, FC Eindhoven's recent form shows two wins in their last five matches, which could impact the outcome. Volendam's inconsistent results, with three wins in their last six, may also play a role in the match dynamics.
FC Eindhoven vs FC Volendam: model vs market
| Source | FC Eindhoven | Draw | FC Volendam |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 21% | 22% | 56% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 21% | 22% | 56% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.14 vs 1.28.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
FC Eindhoven and FC Volendam expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.42
- Attack rating (FC Eindhoven / FC Volendam)
- 0.76 / 0.96
- Defence rating (FC Eindhoven / FC Volendam)
- 1.10 / 0.86
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
FC Eindhoven vs FC Volendam score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: FC Eindhoven goals. Columns: FC Volendam goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
FC Eindhoven vs FC Volendam goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 65%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for FC Eindhoven vs FC Volendam
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Eindhoven | 21% | 4.66 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.47 | |
| FC Volendam | 56% | 1.78 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 34% | 2.98 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65% | 1.55 |
| No | 35% | 2.83 | |
| Double chance | 1X (FC Eindhoven or draw) | 44% | 2.28 |
| 12 (either side) | 78% | 1.29 | |
| X2 (draw or FC Volendam) | 79% | 1.27 | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Volendam win by 2+ | 35% | 2.86 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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FC Eindhoven and FC Volendam recent form
FC Eindhoven
2W 2D 2L
FC Volendam
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
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Before and after this match
- FC Eindhoven, previous: FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse: odds and pick
- FC Volendam, previous: Waalwijk v FC Volendam analysis