Bangor vs Crusaders FC preview
In the match between Bangor and Crusaders FC, the 1X2 probabilities show Bangor at 43%, with the most likely scoreline being 2-1 at 9%. The expected goals suggest Bangor will score 1.64 while Crusaders FC is projected to score 1.38. This indicates a competitive match where both teams could find the net, as shown by the 61% chance for both teams to score.
However, recent form could impact the outcome. Bangor has recorded one win in their last five matches, while Crusaders FC has also struggled, with only one win in their last six. This inconsistency could lead to unexpected results, making the match less predictable despite the statistical leanings. The confidence grade is C, indicating uncertainty in the predictions.
Bangor vs Crusaders FC: model vs market
| Source | Bangor | Draw | Crusaders FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39% | 26% | 34% |
| Market | 44% | 26% | 30% |
| Published | 43% | 26% | 31% |
| Edge | -1% | 0% | +1% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.11, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -9.1% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Bangor vs Crusaders FC odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Bangor, 8 snapshots since 2026-11-03.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bangor | 2.05 | 2.05 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.50 | 3.50 | +0.00 |
| Crusaders FC | 3.06 | 3.05 | -0.01 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Bangor and Crusaders FC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.06
- Attack rating (Bangor / Crusaders FC)
- 0.74 / 0.96
- Defence rating (Bangor / Crusaders FC)
- 1.12 / 1.40
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Bangor vs Crusaders FC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Bangor goals. Columns: Crusaders FC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Bangor vs Crusaders FC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 62%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Bangor vs Crusaders FC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bangor | 43% | 2.32 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.85 | |
| Crusaders FC | 31% | 3.23 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59% | 1.70 |
| Under 2.5 | 41% | 2.43 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62% | 1.60 |
| No | 38% | 2.66 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Bangor or draw) | 69% | 1.45 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Crusaders FC) | 57% | 1.76 | |
| Handicap -1 | Bangor win by 2+ | 20% | 4.94 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Bangor and Crusaders FC recent form
Bangor
1W 1D 4L
Crusaders FC
2W 0D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Bangor at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-4
- Win rate
- 14%
- Goals for / match
- 1.14
- Goals against / match
- 2.14
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 7
- They have won 2 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.1 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 14 matches.
Crusaders FC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-5
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 1.29
- Goals against / match
- 2.14
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 7
- They have won 6 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 14 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Bangor at home only, Crusaders FC away only.
Bangor vs Crusaders FC head-to-head
Last 7 meetings: Bangor 1 · draws 2 · Crusaders FC 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Crusaders FC | 2-1 | Bangor | Northern Ireland Premiership |
| 2026-04-07 | Crusaders FC | 1-1 | Bangor | Northern Ireland Premiership |
| 2026-02-14 | Crusaders FC | 2-2 | Bangor | Northern Ireland Premiership |
| 2025-10-18 | Bangor | 2-1 | Crusaders FC | Northern Ireland Premiership |
| 2025-08-19 | Bangor | 1-3 | Crusaders FC | Northern Ireland Premiership |
| 2023-02-03 | Bangor | 1-2 | Crusaders FC | Irish Cup |
| 2021-08-07 | Crusaders FC | 4-0 | Bangor | Friendlies Clubs |
Other Matchday 15 fixtures
- Cliftonville FC vs Larne 2026-11-06
- Portadown v Ballymena United — match page 2026-11-07
- Carrick Rangers vs Glentoran — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Dungannon Swifts vs Limavady United 2026-11-07
- Linfield vs Coleraine FC — team news & stats 2026-11-07
Before and after this match
- Bangor, previous: Ballymena United v Bangor analysis
- Crusaders FC, previous: Limavady United v Crusaders FC analysis